La escuela de los momios

Gonzaga Bulldogs v Texas Longhorns

Inicio: 2026-03-21 23:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gonzaga Bulldogs (Local)

Predicción 68.81%1.45momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -3.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.13%68.79%68.81%69.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.381.371.4374.07%72.61%72.99%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Texas Longhorns (Visitante)

Predicción 31.19%3.21momio equitativo
EV +1.37%
Ventaja +0.421%
Kelly +0.609%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.11%31.21%31.19%32.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.023.043.2535.71%33.09%32.89%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +1.37%E +0.421%K +0.609%G +0.008%2.2%2026-03-21 23:09
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.75%E -0.556%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 23:10
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.04%E -3.65%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.75%E -0.556%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 23:01
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.75%E -0.556%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 23:10
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.35%E -3.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 23:09
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.04%E -3.65%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 23:09
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.04%E -3.65%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 23:09
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 23:08
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 23:10
Unibet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:10
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:10
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:10
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:09
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:10
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:09
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.11%E -5.26%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 23:10
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.11%E -5.26%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 23:09
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.49%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.49%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:09
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.11%EV -7.11%E -5.26%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -5.80%E -1.92%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 23:09
MyBookie.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -4.35%E -3.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV -6.12%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:09
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -1.60%E -1.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 23:09
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:09
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:09
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 23:09
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 23:08
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 23:10
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 23:09
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.29%E -1.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:09
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:10
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 23:09
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 23:09
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.29%E -1.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 23:10
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:10
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:09
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 69.03%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.97%0.6%2026-03-21 23:09
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-21 23:10
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-21 23:09
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-21 23:09
BetOpenly1.42I 70.42%NM 69.00%3.16I 31.65%NM 31.00%2.1%2026-03-21 23:09
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-03-21 23:10