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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Gonzaga Bulldogs v Texas Longhorns

开赛时间： 2026-03-21 23:11 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

44 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Gonzaga Bulldogs (主队)

预测 68.81%1.45公平赔率
EV -1.60%
优势 -1.12%
Kelly -3.73%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.43

博彩公司预测分布
67.13%68.79%68.81%69.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.351.381.371.4374.07%72.61%72.99%69.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

Texas Longhorns (客队)

预测 31.19%3.21公平赔率
EV +1.37%
优势 +0.421%
Kelly +0.609%
增长率 +0.008%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
30.11%31.21%31.19%32.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.023.043.2535.71%33.09%32.89%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Gonzaga Bulldogs (主队)：68.81%；Texas Longhorns (客队)：31.19%。 对于“Texas Longhorns (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.21。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.25，对应+1.37%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +1.37%E +0.421%K +0.609%G +0.008%2.2%2026-03-21 23:09
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.75%E -0.556%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 23:10
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.04%E -3.65%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.75%E -0.556%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 23:01
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.75%E -0.556%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 23:10
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.35%E -3.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 23:09
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.04%E -3.65%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 23:09
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.04%E -3.65%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 23:09
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 23:08
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 23:10
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:09
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:09
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.11%E -5.26%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.11%E -5.26%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.49%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.49%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:09
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.11%EV -7.11%E -5.26%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -5.80%E -1.92%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -4.35%E -3.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV -6.12%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:09
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -1.60%E -1.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 23:09
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:09
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 23:09
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 23:09
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 23:08
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 23:10
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 23:09
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.29%E -1.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:09
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 23:09
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 23:09
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.29%E -1.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 23:10
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:09
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 23:10
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.03%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.97%0.6%2026-03-21 23:09
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-21 23:10
Polymarket◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-21 23:09
ProphetX◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-21 23:09
BetOpenly◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.00%3.16I 31.65%NM 31.00%2.1%2026-03-21 23:09
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-03-21 23:10