默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Duke Blue Devils v Virginia Cavaliers

开赛时间: 2026-02-28 17:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

45 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Duke Blue Devils (主队)

预测 81.15%1.23公平赔率
EV -2.62%
优势 -2.18%
Kelly -13.11%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.20

博彩公司预测分布
78.95%81.14%81.21%82.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.141.171.181.2087.72%85.13%84.75%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

Virginia Cavaliers (客队)

预测 18.85%5.30公平赔率
EV +3.68%
优势 +0.669%
Kelly +0.818%
增长率 +0.030%

假设最高赔率为 5.50

博彩公司预测分布
17.42%18.86%18.79%21.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.504.935.005.5022.22%20.29%20.00%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Duke Blue Devils (主队):81.15%;Virginia Cavaliers (客队):18.85%。 对于“Virginia Cavaliers (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.30。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.50,对应+3.68%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +3.68%E +0.669%K +0.818%G +0.030%3.7%2026-02-28 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.87%E -5.06%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +3.68%E +0.669%K +0.818%G +0.030%4.4%2026-02-28 17:00
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -0.090%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 16:59
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.03%E -0.197%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 16:49
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.87%E -5.06%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.03%E -0.197%K -0.243%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.87%E -5.06%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.03%E -0.197%K -0.243%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 16:59
Everygame🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -1.98%E -0.380%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 16:59
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.50%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -1.98%E -0.380%K -0.470%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.45%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.55%EV -2.35%E -0.454%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.45%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.55%EV -2.35%E -0.454%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.86%E -0.757%K -0.942%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:00
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.86%E -0.757%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.86%E -0.757%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.86%E -0.757%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:59
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 17:00
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 16:59
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 16:59
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 17:00
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.68%EV -3.43%E -2.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV -6.31%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 16:59
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.87%E -5.06%K -36.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.52%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.46%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.46%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:00
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.46%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 16:59
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:01
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.43%E -2.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.43%E -2.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.43%E -2.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.43%E -2.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:00
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.17%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-02-28 17:00
Polymarket1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-02-28 17:00
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 80.48%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.52%1.8%2026-02-28 17:00
BetOpenly1.18I 84.75%NM 82.97%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.03%2.1%2026-02-28 16:59
ProphetX1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%3.3%2026-02-28 17:00