L’École des cotes

Duke Blue Devils v Virginia Cavaliers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 17:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Duke Blue Devils (Local)

Prévision 81.15%1.23cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -2.18%
Kelly -13.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.95%81.14%81.21%82.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.171.181.2087.72%85.13%84.75%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Virginia Cavaliers (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.85%5.30cote équitable
EV +3.68%
Avantage +0.669%
Kelly +0.818%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.42%18.86%18.79%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.935.005.5022.22%20.29%20.00%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +3.68%E +0.669%K +0.818%G +0.030%3.7%2026-02-28 17:00
FanDuel1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.87%E -5.06%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +3.68%E +0.669%K +0.818%G +0.030%4.4%2026-02-28 17:00
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -0.090%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 16:59
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.03%E -0.197%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 16:49
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.87%E -5.06%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.03%E -0.197%K -0.243%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 16:59
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.87%E -5.06%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.03%E -0.197%K -0.243%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 16:59
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -1.98%E -0.380%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 16:59
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.50%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -1.98%E -0.380%K -0.470%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:00
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.45%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.55%EV -2.35%E -0.454%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.45%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.55%EV -2.35%E -0.454%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 17:00
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.86%E -0.757%K -0.942%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:00
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.86%E -0.757%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:59
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.86%E -0.757%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.86%E -0.757%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:59
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 17:00
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 16:59
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 16:59
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 17:00
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 17:00
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 80.68%EV -3.43%E -2.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV -6.31%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 16:59
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.87%E -5.06%K -36.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.52%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.46%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.46%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:00
William Hill1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.46%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 16:59
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:01
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:00
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:00
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.43%E -2.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.43%E -2.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.43%E -2.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:00
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.43%E -2.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:00
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.17%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-02-28 17:00
Polymarket1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-02-28 17:00
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 80.48%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.52%1.8%2026-02-28 17:00
BetOpenly1.18I 84.75%NM 82.97%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.03%2.1%2026-02-28 16:59
ProphetX1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%3.3%2026-02-28 17:00