A Escola das Odds

Duke Blue Devils v Virginia Cavaliers

Início: 2026-02-28 17:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Duke Blue Devils (Local)

Previsão 81.15%1.23odd justa
EV -2.62%
Vantagem -2.18%
Kelly -13.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.95%81.14%81.21%82.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.141.171.181.2087.72%85.13%84.75%83.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Virginia Cavaliers (Visitante)

Previsão 18.85%5.30odd justa
EV +3.68%
Vantagem +0.669%
Kelly +0.818%
Crescimento +0.030%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.42%18.86%18.79%21.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.504.935.005.5022.22%20.29%20.00%18.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +3.68%E +0.669%K +0.818%G +0.030%3.7%2026-02-28 17:00
FanDuel1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.87%E -5.06%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +3.68%E +0.669%K +0.818%G +0.030%4.4%2026-02-28 17:00
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -0.090%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 16:59
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.03%E -0.197%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 16:49
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.87%E -5.06%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.03%E -0.197%K -0.243%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 16:59
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.87%E -5.06%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.03%E -0.197%K -0.243%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 16:59
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -1.98%E -0.380%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 16:59
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.50%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -1.98%E -0.380%K -0.470%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:00
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.45%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.55%EV -2.35%E -0.454%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.45%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.55%EV -2.35%E -0.454%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 17:00
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.86%E -0.757%K -0.942%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:00
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.86%E -0.757%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:59
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.86%E -0.757%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.86%E -0.757%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:59
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 17:00
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 16:59
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 16:59
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 17:00
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 17:00
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.75%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 80.68%EV -3.43%E -2.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV -6.31%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 16:59
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.87%E -5.06%K -36.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.52%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.46%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.46%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:00
William Hill1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.46%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 16:59
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:01
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:00
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.40%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:00
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.43%E -2.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.43%E -2.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.43%E -2.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:00
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.43%E -2.88%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.24%E -3.60%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -13.29%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 17:00
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.62%E -2.18%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.17%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-02-28 17:00
Polymarket1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-02-28 17:00
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 80.48%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.52%1.8%2026-02-28 17:00
BetOpenly1.18I 84.75%NM 82.97%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.03%2.1%2026-02-28 16:59
ProphetX1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%3.3%2026-02-28 17:00