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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Duke Blue Devils v TCU Horned Frogs

开赛时间： 2026-03-21 21:27 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Duke Blue Devils (主队)

预测 85.07%1.18公平赔率
EV -3.02%
优势 -2.65%
Kelly -21.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.14

博彩公司预测分布
82.02%85.02%85.19%86.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.081.121.121.1492.59%89.53%89.29%87.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

TCU Horned Frogs (客队)

预测 14.93%6.70公平赔率
EV +8.25%
优势 +1.14%
Kelly +1.32%
增长率 +0.109%

假设最高赔率为 7.25

博彩公司预测分布
13.17%14.98%14.81%17.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.206.276.107.2519.23%15.96%16.39%13.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Duke Blue Devils (主队)：85.07%；TCU Horned Frogs (客队)：14.93%。 对于“TCU Horned Frogs (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.70。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.25，对应+8.25%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.24%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +8.25%E +1.14%K +1.32%G +0.109%4.7%2026-03-21 21:24
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.22%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.78%EV +5.56%E +0.786%K +0.916%G +0.051%2.6%2026-03-21 21:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.52%E +0.645%K +0.753%G +0.034%6.0%2026-03-21 21:24
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.52%E +0.645%K +0.753%G +0.034%6.0%2026-03-21 21:24
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.67%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +3.02%E +0.438%K +0.512%G +0.015%4.6%2026-03-21 21:24
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +1.53%E +0.225%K +0.264%G +0.004%4.0%2026-03-21 21:13
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 21:14
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 21:24
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 21:23
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 21:16
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 21:24
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 21:23
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.13%E -7.52%K -101.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 21:24
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.13%E -7.52%K -101.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 21:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV -3.55%E -0.549%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 21:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV -3.55%E -0.549%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 21:24
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.44%E -0.694%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 21:24
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.67%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -5.94%E -0.942%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 21:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 21:24
LeoVegas🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 21:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 21:24
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 21:25
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 21:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 21:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:24
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:24
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:25
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:24
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 21:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 21:24
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 21:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 21:24
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 21:14
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 21:22
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 21:14
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 21:24
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 21:14
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 21:14
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.15%E -2.46%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 21:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -14.15%E -2.46%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 21:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -3.02%E -2.65%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -22.36%E -4.30%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 21:14
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.55%8.02I 12.47%NM 12.45%0.2%2026-03-21 21:14
ProphetX◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.39%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.61%0.4%2026-03-21 21:24
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-21 21:24
Polymarket◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-21 21:24
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.84%7.52I 13.30%NM 13.16%1.0%2026-03-21 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.7%2026-03-21 21:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.7%2026-03-21 21:24
Smarkets◎1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%2.0%2026-03-21 21:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%2.0%2026-03-21 21:25