La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Duke Blue Devils v TCU Horned Frogs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Duke Blue Devils (Local)
Predicción 85.07%1.18momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -2.65%
Kelly -21.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.02%85.02%85.19%86.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.121.121.1492.59%89.53%89.29%87.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
TCU Horned Frogs (Visitante)
Predicción 14.93%6.70momio equitativo
EV +8.25%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +1.32%
Crecimiento +0.109%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.17%14.98%14.81%17.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.206.276.107.2519.23%15.96%16.39%13.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +8.25%E +1.14%K +1.32%G +0.109% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.22%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 7.07I 14.14%NM 13.78%EV +5.56%E +0.786%K +0.916%G +0.051% | 2.6% | 2026-03-21 21:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.52%E +0.645%K +0.753%G +0.034% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Neds | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.52%E +0.645%K +0.753%G +0.034% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.67%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +3.02%E +0.438%K +0.512%G +0.015% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| ReBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +1.53%E +0.225%K +0.264%G +0.004% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 21:13 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Caesars | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 21:23 |
| Bovada | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 21:16 |
| BetUS | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 21:23 |
| theScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.13%E -7.52%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Coral | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.13%E -7.52%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV -3.55%E -0.549%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV -3.55%E -0.549%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.44%E -0.694%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Fliff | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.67%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -5.94%E -0.942%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| betPARX | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 21:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Unibet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 21:25 |
| TAB | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| William Hill | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 21:22 |
| 1xBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| Betsson | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.15%E -2.46%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -14.15%E -2.46%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -3.02%E -2.65%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -22.36%E -4.30%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.55% | 8.02I 12.47%NM 12.45% | 0.2% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| ProphetX | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.39% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.61% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Kalshi | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Polymarket | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Novig | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.84% | 7.52I 13.30%NM 13.16% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Smarkets | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 21:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 21:25 |