L’École des cotes

Duke Blue Devils v TCU Horned Frogs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 21:27 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Duke Blue Devils (Local)

Prévision 85.07%1.18cote équitable
EV -3.02%
Avantage -2.65%
Kelly -21.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.02%85.02%85.19%86.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.121.121.1492.59%89.53%89.29%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

TCU Horned Frogs (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.93%6.70cote équitable
EV +8.25%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.32%
Croissance +0.109%

avec la cote maximale 7.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.17%14.98%14.81%17.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.206.276.107.2519.23%15.96%16.39%13.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.24%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +8.25%E +1.14%K +1.32%G +0.109%4.7%2026-03-21 21:24
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 86.22%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.78%EV +5.56%E +0.786%K +0.916%G +0.051%2.6%2026-03-21 21:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.52%E +0.645%K +0.753%G +0.034%6.0%2026-03-21 21:24
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.27%E -6.67%K -80.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +4.52%E +0.645%K +0.753%G +0.034%6.0%2026-03-21 21:24
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.67%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +3.02%E +0.438%K +0.512%G +0.015%4.6%2026-03-21 21:24
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +1.53%E +0.225%K +0.264%G +0.004%4.0%2026-03-21 21:13
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 21:14
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 21:24
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 21:23
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 21:16
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 21:24
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 21:23
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.13%E -7.52%K -101.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 21:24
Coral1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.13%E -7.52%K -101.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 21:24
LowVig.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV -3.55%E -0.549%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 21:24
BetOnline.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV -3.55%E -0.549%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 21:24
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.44%E -0.694%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 21:24
Fliff1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.67%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -5.94%E -0.942%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 21:24
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 21:24
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 21:24
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 21:24
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 21:25
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 21:24
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 21:24
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:24
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:24
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:25
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:24
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.87%E -3.43%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:24
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 21:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 21:24
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 21:24
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 21:24
BoyleSports1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 21:14
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 21:22
1xBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.57%E -5.02%K -50.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 21:14
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 21:24
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 21:14
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -10.42%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 21:14
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.72%E -4.22%K -39.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.15%E -2.46%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 21:24
MyBookie.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -6.42%E -5.84%K -64.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -14.15%E -2.46%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 21:24
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -3.02%E -2.65%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -22.36%E -4.30%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 21:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.14I 87.72%NM 87.55%8.02I 12.47%NM 12.45%0.2%2026-03-21 21:14
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 87.39%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.61%0.4%2026-03-21 21:24
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-21 21:24
Polymarket1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-21 21:24
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 86.84%7.52I 13.30%NM 13.16%1.0%2026-03-21 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.7%2026-03-21 21:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.7%2026-03-21 21:24
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%2.0%2026-03-21 21:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%2.0%2026-03-21 21:25