The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Duke Blue Devils v Michigan Wolverines

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 23:37 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duke Blue Devils (Local)

Prediction 39.83%2.51fair odd
EV +0.776%
Edge +0.307%
Kelly +0.507%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%39.91%40.00%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.332.5345.45%42.71%42.92%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan Wolverines (Visit)

Prediction 60.17%1.66fair odd
EV +0.480%
Edge +0.287%
Kelly +0.716%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%60.09%60.00%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.601.571.6766.67%62.52%63.69%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duke Blue Devils (Local): 39.83%; Michigan Wolverines (Visit): 60.17%. For Duke Blue Devils (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.776%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +0.776%E +0.307%K +0.507%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +0.776%E +0.307%K +0.507%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 23:35
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.419%E -0.168%K -0.279%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 23:34
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.419%E -0.168%K -0.279%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 23:34
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.419%E -0.168%K -0.279%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 23:35
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.419%E -0.168%K -0.279%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 23:33
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.419%E -0.168%K -0.279%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 23:35
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -2.41%E -0.984%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 23:29
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.81%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.33%E -2.73%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 23:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.33%E -2.73%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 23:35
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.94%E -3.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 23:35
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 23:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 23:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 23:29
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.20%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -1.93%E -1.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 23:29
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.53%E -1.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 23:35
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 23:35
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 23:35
SportsBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 23:35
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 23:29
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 23:35
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 23:35
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 23:31
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -9.18%E -4.03%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -7.34%E -4.77%K -13.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 23:27
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 23:35
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 23:35
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%4.7%2026-02-21 23:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%4.7%2026-02-21 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%4.7%2026-02-21 23:35
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%4.7%2026-02-21 23:35
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%4.7%2026-02-21 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%4.7%2026-02-21 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%4.7%2026-02-21 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%5.3%2026-02-21 23:35
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%5.3%2026-02-21 23:35
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%5.3%2026-02-21 23:35
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -0.122%E -0.073%K -0.184%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 23:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-02-21 23:35
Novig◎2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%1.3%2026-02-21 23:35
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-02-21 23:35
ProphetX◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%3.0%2026-02-21 23:35
BetOpenly◎2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%7.0%2026-02-21 23:29