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Duke Blue Devils v Michigan Wolverines
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Duke Blue Devils (Local)
Predicción 39.83%2.51momio equitativo
EV +0.776%
Ventaja +0.307%
Kelly +0.507%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%39.91%40.00%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.342.332.5345.45%42.71%42.92%39.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Michigan Wolverines (Visitante)
Predicción 60.17%1.66momio equitativo
EV +0.480%
Ventaja +0.287%
Kelly +0.716%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%60.09%60.00%62.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.601.571.6766.67%62.52%63.69%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Duke Blue Devils (Local): 39.83%; Michigan Wolverines (Visitante): 60.17%. Para Duke Blue Devils (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.51. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.53, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.776%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +0.776%E +0.307%K +0.507%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +0.776%E +0.307%K +0.507%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.419%E -0.168%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 23:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.419%E -0.168%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 23:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.419%E -0.168%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.419%E -0.168%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 23:33 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.419%E -0.168%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -2.41%E -0.984%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.81%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.33%E -2.73%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 23:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.33%E -2.73%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.94%E -3.12%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 23:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.20%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -1.93%E -1.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 23:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.53%E -1.56%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 23:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -9.18%E -4.03%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -7.34%E -4.77%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 23:27 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -0.122%E -0.073%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30% | 1.3% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.1% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46% | 3.0% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 23:29 |