Duke Blue Devils v Michigan Wolverines

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 23:37 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

40%

60%

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Duke Blue Devils (Local)

Prévision 39.83%2.51cote équitable

EV +0.776%

Avantage +0.307%

Kelly +0.507%

Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

37.97%39.91%40.00%43.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Distribution des cotes

2.202.342.332.5345.45%42.71%42.92%39.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Michigan Wolverines (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.17%1.66cote équitable

EV +0.480%

Avantage +0.287%

Kelly +0.716%

Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

56.85%60.09%60.00%62.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Distribution des cotes

1.501.601.571.6766.67%62.52%63.69%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

Opérateur	Local ▼	Visiteur	Marge	Mise à jour
LowVig.ag	2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +0.776%E +0.307%K +0.507%G +0.004%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-02-21 23:35
BetOnline.ag	2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +0.776%E +0.307%K +0.507%G +0.004%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-02-21 23:35
Bovada	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.419%E -0.168%K -0.279%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-02-21 23:34
BetUS	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.419%E -0.168%K -0.279%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-02-21 23:34
theScore Bet	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.419%E -0.168%K -0.279%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-02-21 23:35
Caesars	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.419%E -0.168%K -0.279%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-02-21 23:33
DraftKings	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.419%E -0.168%K -0.279%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-02-21 23:35
1xBet	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -2.41%E -0.984%K -1.66%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.50%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-02-21 23:29
Pinnacle	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.81%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.33%E -2.73%K -7.34%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-02-21 23:29
Hard Rock Bet	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.33%E -2.73%K -7.34%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-02-21 23:35
TAB	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.94%E -3.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-21 23:35
888sport	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 23:29
888sport (SE)	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 23:29
Mr Green (SE)	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-21 23:29
FanDuel	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.20%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-02-21 23:35
PointsBet (AU)	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -1.93%E -1.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-02-21 23:29
BetMGM	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.53%E -1.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-21 23:35
Betway	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-21 23:35
PlayUp	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.25%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-02-21 23:35
SportsBet	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-02-21 23:35
Betsson	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.25%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-02-21 23:29
NordicBet	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -7.19%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.25%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-02-21 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-21 23:35
Neds	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-21 23:35
BoyleSports	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-02-21 23:31
Marathon Bet	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -9.18%E -4.03%K -7.17%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -7.34%E -4.77%K -13.60%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-02-21 23:27
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-02-21 23:35
Coral	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-02-21 23:35
LeoVegas	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%	4.7%	2026-02-21 23:35
LiveScore Bet	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%	4.7%	2026-02-21 23:35
Virgin Bet	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%	4.7%	2026-02-21 23:35
Bally Bet	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%	4.7%	2026-02-21 23:35
betPARX	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%	4.7%	2026-02-21 23:35
Svenska Spel	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%	4.7%	2026-02-21 23:35
ATG (SE)	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -11.17%E -5.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%	4.7%	2026-02-21 23:35
Unibet (NL)	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%	5.3%	2026-02-21 23:35
BetRivers	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%	5.3%	2026-02-21 23:35
Unibet	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.480%E +0.287%K +0.716%G +0.003%	5.3%	2026-02-21 23:35
TABtouch	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -0.122%E -0.073%K -0.184%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-21 23:35

Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

Opérateur	Local	Visiteur	Marge ▲	Mise à jour
Polymarket	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%	1.2%	2026-02-21 23:35
Novig	2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%	1.3%	2026-02-21 23:35
Kalshi	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%	2.1%	2026-02-21 23:35
ProphetX	2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%	3.0%	2026-02-21 23:35
BetOpenly	2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%	7.0%	2026-02-21 23:29