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Dayton Flyers v St. Bonaventure Bonnies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dayton Flyers (Local)
Prediction 67.34%1.49fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -6.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.21%67.37%67.17%73.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.401.401.4476.34%71.54%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies (Visit)
Prediction 32.66%3.06fair odd
EV +17.59%
Edge +4.89%
Kelly +6.77%
Growth +1.19%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%32.63%32.83%34.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.682.892.853.6037.31%34.62%35.09%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dayton Flyers (Local): 67.34%; St. Bonaventure Bonnies (Visit): 32.66%. For St. Bonaventure Bonnies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -11.79%E -9.00%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +17.59%E +4.89%K +6.77%G +1.19% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 18:06 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.26%E +0.406%K +0.600%G +0.008% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 18:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.26%E +0.406%K +0.600%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 18:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +0.280%E +0.091%K +0.135%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +0.280%E +0.091%K +0.135%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 18:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.01%E -0.669%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-13 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -5.06%E -3.59%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -2.66%E -0.893%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 18:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -3.31%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.06%E -3.59%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 18:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -3.71%E -2.59%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.75%E -5.66%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -4.62%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.04%E -2.11%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.71%E -2.59%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 18:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.75%E -5.66%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.75%E -5.66%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.93%E -2.06%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.71%E -2.59%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 18:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.06%E -3.59%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 18:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -3.71%E -2.59%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -12.46%E -4.65%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-13 18:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-03-13 18:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-03-13 17:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94% | 2.0% | 2026-03-13 18:10 |