L’École des cotes

Dayton Flyers v St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 18:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dayton Flyers (Local)

Prévision 67.34%1.49cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -2.11%
Kelly -6.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.21%67.37%67.17%73.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.311.401.401.4476.34%71.54%71.43%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St. Bonaventure Bonnies (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.66%3.06cote équitable
EV +17.59%
Avantage +4.89%
Kelly +6.77%
Croissance +1.19%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.68%32.63%32.83%34.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.682.892.853.6037.31%34.62%35.09%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -11.79%E -9.00%K -38.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +17.59%E +4.89%K +6.77%G +1.19%4.1%2026-03-13 18:06
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.26%E +0.406%K +0.600%G +0.008%3.7%2026-03-13 18:09
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.26%E +0.406%K +0.600%G +0.008%4.7%2026-03-13 18:08
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +0.280%E +0.091%K +0.135%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 18:09
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +0.280%E +0.091%K +0.135%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 18:09
Everygame1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.01%E -0.669%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 18:00
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -5.06%E -3.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -2.66%E -0.893%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 18:00
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -3.31%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 17:59
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.06%E -3.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 18:00
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:00
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 17:59
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -3.71%E -2.59%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 17:59
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.75%E -5.66%K -20.95%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -4.62%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 18:00
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.04%E -2.11%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 18:00
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.71%E -2.59%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 17:59
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 18:09
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.75%E -5.66%K -20.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 17:59
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.75%E -5.66%K -20.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 18:00
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.93%E -2.06%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 17:59
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.71%E -2.59%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 18:00
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 18:05
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 18:05
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 18:05
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 18:05
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 17:59
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 18:05
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 18:10
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 18:05
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 18:05
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 18:04
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 17:59
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.06%E -3.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 17:59
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 18:09
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 18:00
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 18:05
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 18:05
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -3.71%E -2.59%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -12.46%E -4.65%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 17:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-03-13 18:00
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-13 18:10
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-03-13 18:10
BetOpenly1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-03-13 17:59
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94%2.0%2026-03-13 18:10