A Escola das Odds

Dayton Flyers v St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Início: 2026-03-13 18:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Dayton Flyers (Local)

Previsão 67.34%1.49odd justa
EV -3.04%
Vantagem -2.11%
Kelly -6.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.21%67.37%67.17%73.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.311.401.401.4476.34%71.54%71.43%69.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

St. Bonaventure Bonnies (Visitante)

Previsão 32.66%3.06odd justa
EV +17.59%
Vantagem +4.89%
Kelly +6.77%
Crescimento +1.19%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.68%32.63%32.83%34.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.682.892.853.6037.31%34.62%35.09%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -11.79%E -9.00%K -38.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +17.59%E +4.89%K +6.77%G +1.19%4.1%2026-03-13 18:06
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.26%E +0.406%K +0.600%G +0.008%3.7%2026-03-13 18:09
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.26%E +0.406%K +0.600%G +0.008%4.7%2026-03-13 18:08
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +0.280%E +0.091%K +0.135%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 18:09
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +0.280%E +0.091%K +0.135%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 18:09
Everygame1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.01%E -0.669%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 18:00
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -5.06%E -3.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -2.66%E -0.893%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 18:00
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -3.31%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 17:59
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.06%E -3.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 18:00
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:00
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.64%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 17:59
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -3.71%E -2.59%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 17:59
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.75%E -5.66%K -20.95%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -4.62%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 18:00
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.04%E -2.11%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 18:00
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.71%E -2.59%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 17:59
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 18:09
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.75%E -5.66%K -20.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 17:59
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.75%E -5.66%K -20.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.27%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 18:00
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.93%E -2.06%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 17:59
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.71%E -2.59%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 18:00
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 18:05
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 18:05
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 18:05
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 18:05
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 17:59
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.91%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 18:05
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 18:10
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 18:05
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 18:05
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.54%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 18:04
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 17:59
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.06%E -3.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 17:59
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 18:09
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 18:00
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 18:05
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.17%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 18:05
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -3.71%E -2.59%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -12.46%E -4.65%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 17:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-03-13 18:00
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-13 18:10
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-03-13 18:10
BetOpenly1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-03-13 17:59
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94%2.0%2026-03-13 18:10