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Dayton Flyers v Duquesne Dukes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dayton Flyers (Local)
Prediction 72.22%1.38fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -7.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.11%72.30%72.26%73.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.311.301.3578.13%76.41%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Duquesne Dukes (Visit)
Prediction 27.78%3.60fair odd
EV +0.010%
Edge +0.003%
Kelly +0.004%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.53%27.70%27.74%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.443.423.6031.25%29.08%29.20%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dayton Flyers (Local): 72.22%; Duquesne Dukes (Visit): 27.78%. For Duquesne Dukes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.5996. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.6000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.010%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.39%E -4.12%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 17:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.63%EV -3.95%E -2.97%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV -1.93%E -0.548%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-21 15:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.39%E -4.12%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.77%E -0.791%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 15:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.39%E -4.12%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.77%E -0.791%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 16:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.95%E -2.97%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.56%E -5.91%K -27.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.23%E -2.41%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 17:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.95%E -2.97%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.95%E -2.97%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 15:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 17:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.56%E -5.91%K -27.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.23%E -2.41%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.38%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.23%E -2.41%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.38%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.67%E -3.54%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.67%E -3.54%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.84%E -5.30%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -2.50%E -1.85%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -7.21%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.23%E -2.41%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 0.0% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.22% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.78% | 2.6% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |