L’École des cotes

Dayton Flyers v Duquesne Dukes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dayton Flyers (Local)

Prévision 72.22%1.38cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -1.85%
Kelly -7.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.11%72.30%72.26%73.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.311.301.3578.13%76.41%76.92%74.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Duquesne Dukes (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.78%3.60cote équitable
EV +0.010%
Avantage +0.003%
Kelly +0.004%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.53%27.70%27.74%28.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.443.423.6031.25%29.08%29.20%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.39%E -4.12%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 15:55
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 15:55
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 15:55
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:50
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:49
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:50
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:50
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:50
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:50
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:50
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 72.63%EV -3.95%E -2.97%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV -1.93%E -0.548%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 15:35
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.39%E -4.12%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.77%E -0.791%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 15:40
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.39%E -4.12%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.77%E -0.791%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:58
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 16:00
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.95%E -2.97%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 17:50
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:50
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:50
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:50
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:50
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.56%E -5.91%K -27.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:55
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.23%E -2.41%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 17:53
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.95%E -2.97%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:45
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.95%E -2.97%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 15:35
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:50
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:44
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:50
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.56%E -5.91%K -27.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.23%E -2.41%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.38%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 17:45
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.23%E -2.41%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.38%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.67%E -3.54%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:45
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.67%E -3.54%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:45
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.84%E -5.30%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 17:50
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -2.50%E -1.85%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -7.21%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 18:10
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.23%E -2.41%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:50
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 17:45
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 17:45
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 17:45
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 17:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-02-21 18:55
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-02-21 17:55
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 72.22%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.78%2.6%2026-02-21 18:50
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-02-21 18:50