A Escola das Odds

Dayton Flyers v Duquesne Dukes

Início: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Dayton Flyers (Local)

Previsão 72.22%1.38odd justa
EV -2.50%
Vantagem -1.85%
Kelly -7.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.11%72.30%72.26%73.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.281.311.301.3578.13%76.41%76.92%74.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Duquesne Dukes (Visitante)

Previsão 27.78%3.60odd justa
EV +0.010%
Vantagem +0.003%
Kelly +0.004%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.53%27.70%27.74%28.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.443.423.6031.25%29.08%29.20%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.39%E -4.12%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 15:55
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 15:55
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 15:55
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:50
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:49
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:50
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:50
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:50
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:50
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.010%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:50
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 72.63%EV -3.95%E -2.97%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV -1.93%E -0.548%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 15:35
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.39%E -4.12%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.77%E -0.791%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 15:40
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.39%E -4.12%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.77%E -0.791%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:58
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 16:00
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.95%E -2.97%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 17:50
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:50
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:50
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:50
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:50
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.56%E -5.91%K -27.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.16%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:55
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.23%E -2.41%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 17:53
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.95%E -2.97%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:45
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.95%E -2.97%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 15:35
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:50
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:44
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:50
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.56%E -5.91%K -27.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.23%E -2.41%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.38%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 17:45
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.23%E -2.41%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.38%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.67%E -3.54%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:45
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.67%E -3.54%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:45
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.84%E -5.30%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 17:50
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -2.50%E -1.85%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -7.21%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 18:10
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.23%E -2.41%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:50
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 17:45
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 17:45
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 17:45
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.11%E -4.70%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 17:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-02-21 18:55
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-02-21 17:55
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 72.22%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.78%2.6%2026-02-21 18:50
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-02-21 18:50