Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bradley Braves v Murray St Racers

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bradley Braves (Local)

Prediction 61.75%1.62fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -5.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%61.82%61.71%64.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.541.541.5768.97%64.99%64.72%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Murray St Racers (Visit)

Prediction 38.25%2.61fair odd
EV +0.989%
Edge +0.375%
Kelly +0.603%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.63%38.18%38.29%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.482.502.6442.19%40.33%40.08%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bradley Braves (Local): 61.75%; Murray St Racers (Visit): 38.25%. For Murray St Racers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.989%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -8.00%E -5.37%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV +0.989%E +0.375%K +0.603%G +0.006%5.0%2026-03-01 18:05
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -10.47%E -7.22%K -23.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV +0.224%E +0.085%K +0.138%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 00:35
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -9.85%E -6.75%K -21.41%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.05%EV -0.924%E -0.357%K -0.581%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 18:05
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.45%E -0.962%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-01 17:50
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.91%E -3.19%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.45%E -0.962%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.91%E -3.19%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.84%E -1.12%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 13:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.22%E -1.27%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 15:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.22%E -1.27%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 15:34
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 18:24
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 15:33
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 15:34
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 16:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 15:34
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.91%E -3.19%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 15:39
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 17:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 18:50
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 18:24
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 03:05
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 04:10
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -4.75%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 18:39
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:35
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:34
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:34
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:09
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:35
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:09
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:35
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:34
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.29%E -2.77%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -8.57%E -3.59%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 15:39
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -9.34%E -3.94%K -6.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -9.34%E -3.94%K -6.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 62.03%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.97%0.1%2026-03-01 18:50
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-01 18:54
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-01 16:40
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-03-01 18:50
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%2.5%2026-03-01 18:49