La escuela de los momios

Bradley Braves v Murray St Racers

Inicio: 2026-03-01 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bradley Braves (Local)

Predicción 61.75%1.62momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -1.95%
Kelly -5.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.61%61.82%61.71%64.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.541.541.5768.97%64.99%64.72%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Murray St Racers (Visitante)

Predicción 38.25%2.61momio equitativo
EV +0.989%
Ventaja +0.375%
Kelly +0.603%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.63%38.18%38.29%39.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.372.482.502.6442.19%40.33%40.08%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -8.00%E -5.37%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV +0.989%E +0.375%K +0.603%G +0.006%5.0%2026-03-01 18:05
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -10.47%E -7.22%K -23.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV +0.224%E +0.085%K +0.138%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 00:35
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -9.85%E -6.75%K -21.41%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.05%EV -0.924%E -0.357%K -0.581%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 18:05
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.45%E -0.962%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-01 17:50
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.91%E -3.19%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.45%E -0.962%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 16:20
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.91%E -3.19%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.84%E -1.12%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 13:39
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.22%E -1.27%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 15:34
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.22%E -1.27%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 15:34
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 18:24
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 15:33
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 15:34
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 16:09
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 15:34
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.91%E -3.19%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 18:54
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 15:39
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 17:14
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 18:50
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 18:24
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 03:05
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 04:10
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -4.75%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 18:39
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:35
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:34
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:34
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:09
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:35
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:09
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:34
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:35
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:34
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.29%E -2.77%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:35
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -8.57%E -3.59%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 15:39
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -9.34%E -3.94%K -6.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -9.34%E -3.94%K -6.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 15:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 62.03%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.97%0.1%2026-03-01 18:50
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-01 18:54
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-01 16:40
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-03-01 18:50
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%2.5%2026-03-01 18:49