L’École des cotes

Bradley Braves v Murray St Racers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bradley Braves (Local)

Prévision 61.75%1.62cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -1.95%
Kelly -5.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.61%61.82%61.71%64.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.541.541.5768.97%64.99%64.72%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Murray St Racers (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.25%2.61cote équitable
EV +0.989%
Avantage +0.375%
Kelly +0.603%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.63%38.18%38.29%39.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.372.482.502.6442.19%40.33%40.08%37.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -8.00%E -5.37%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV +0.989%E +0.375%K +0.603%G +0.006%5.0%2026-03-01 18:05
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -10.47%E -7.22%K -23.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV +0.224%E +0.085%K +0.138%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 00:35
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -9.85%E -6.75%K -21.41%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.05%EV -0.924%E -0.357%K -0.581%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 18:05
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.45%E -0.962%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-01 17:50
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.91%E -3.19%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.45%E -0.962%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 16:20
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.91%E -3.19%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.84%E -1.12%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 13:39
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.22%E -1.27%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 15:34
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.22%E -1.27%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 15:34
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 18:24
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 15:33
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 15:34
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 16:09
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 15:34
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.91%E -3.19%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 18:54
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 15:39
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 17:14
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 18:50
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 18:24
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 03:05
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 04:10
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -4.75%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 18:39
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:35
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:34
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:34
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:09
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:35
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:09
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:34
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:35
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:34
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.29%E -2.77%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 15:35
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -8.57%E -3.59%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 15:39
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -9.34%E -3.94%K -6.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -9.34%E -3.94%K -6.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 15:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 62.03%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.97%0.1%2026-03-01 18:50
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-01 18:54
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-01 16:40
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-03-01 18:50
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%2.5%2026-03-01 18:49