Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belmont Bruins v Evansville Purple Aces

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belmont Bruins (Local)

Prediction 92.08%1.09fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -3.16%
Kelly -66.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.50%92.10%92.02%94.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.031.031.0599.01%96.86%97.09%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Evansville Purple Aces (Visit)

Prediction 7.92%12.63fair odd
EV +34.64%
Edge +2.04%
Kelly +2.16%
Growth +0.750%

assuming max odds 17.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.61%7.90%7.98%9.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0012.0612.0017.0010.00%8.29%8.33%5.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belmont Bruins (Local): 92.08%; Evansville Purple Aces (Visit): 7.92%. For Evansville Purple Aces (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.63. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 17.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +34.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -7.00%E -6.93%K -699.91%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +34.64%E +2.04%K +2.16%G +0.750%4.9%2026-02-25 07:14
Fanatics🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +18.80%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252%3.8%2026-02-25 23:24
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.08%E -5.96%K -303.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +18.80%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252%4.7%2026-02-25 23:14
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.08%E -5.96%K -303.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +2.96%E +0.228%K +0.247%G +0.007%5.7%2026-02-25 23:14
BetUS🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 22:29
888sport🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 20:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 20:53
888sport (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:15
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:14
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:15
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:15
Bally Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:14
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.32%E -3.16%K -66.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -4.96%E -0.413%K -0.451%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.32%E -3.16%K -66.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -4.96%E -0.413%K -0.451%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.96%E -0.413%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 21:54
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.96%E -0.413%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 22:29
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -4.96%E -0.413%K -0.451%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 21:55
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.89%EV -3.32%E -3.16%K -66.32%G +0.000%11.90I 8.40%NM 8.11%EV -5.75%E -0.483%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.32%E -3.16%K -66.32%G +0.000%11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -7.42%E -0.634%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.32%E -3.16%K -66.32%G +0.000%11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -7.42%E -0.634%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 20:59
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.95%EV -6.08%E -5.96%K -303.92%G +0.000%11.65I 8.58%NM 8.05%EV -7.73%E -0.664%K -0.726%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 23:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -8.92%E -0.776%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 20:54
Neds🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -8.92%E -0.776%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 20:54
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 20:54
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.08%E -5.96%K -303.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 23:15
TABtouch🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -16.84%E -1.60%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 22:14
TAB🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.32%E -3.16%K -66.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 20:55
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 21:55
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 21:54
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 22:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.04I 96.15%NM 96.10%25.64I 3.90%NM 3.90%0.1%2026-02-26 00:25
BetOpenly1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87%0.2%2026-02-26 00:04
Kalshi1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-02-25 23:59
ProphetX1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61%1.9%2026-02-26 00:25
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 93.58%15.15I 6.60%NM 6.42%2.8%2026-02-26 00:04