A Escola das Odds

Belmont Bruins v Evansville Purple Aces

Início: 2026-02-26 00:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Belmont Bruins (Local)

Previsão 92.08%1.09odd justa
EV -3.32%
Vantagem -3.16%
Kelly -66.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
90.50%92.10%92.02%94.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.011.031.031.0599.01%96.86%97.09%95.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Evansville Purple Aces (Visitante)

Previsão 7.92%12.63odd justa
EV +34.64%
Vantagem +2.04%
Kelly +2.16%
Crescimento +0.750%

pressupondo odds máximas de 17.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.61%7.90%7.98%9.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
10.0012.0612.0017.0010.00%8.29%8.33%5.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bovada1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -7.00%E -6.93%K -699.91%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +34.64%E +2.04%K +2.16%G +0.750%4.9%2026-02-25 07:14
Fanatics1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +18.80%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252%3.8%2026-02-25 23:24
FanDuel1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.08%E -5.96%K -303.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +18.80%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252%4.7%2026-02-25 23:14
1xBet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.08%E -5.96%K -303.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +2.96%E +0.228%K +0.247%G +0.007%5.7%2026-02-25 23:14
BetUS1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 22:29
888sport1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 20:54
Mr Green (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 20:53
888sport (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 20:55
Virgin Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:15
BetRivers1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:15
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:15
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:14
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:15
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:15
Bally Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:14
ATG (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:14
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:14
Svenska Spel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:14
PointsBet (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.32%E -3.16%K -66.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -4.96%E -0.413%K -0.451%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:05
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.32%E -3.16%K -66.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -4.96%E -0.413%K -0.451%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:05
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.96%E -0.413%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 21:54
BetMGM1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.96%E -0.413%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 22:29
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -4.96%E -0.413%K -0.451%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 21:55
GTbets1.05I 95.24%NM 91.89%EV -3.32%E -3.16%K -66.32%G +0.000%11.90I 8.40%NM 8.11%EV -5.75%E -0.483%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:05
BetOnline.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.32%E -3.16%K -66.32%G +0.000%11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -7.42%E -0.634%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 21:00
LowVig.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.32%E -3.16%K -66.32%G +0.000%11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -7.42%E -0.634%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 20:59
Fliff1.02I 98.04%NM 91.95%EV -6.08%E -5.96%K -303.92%G +0.000%11.65I 8.58%NM 8.05%EV -7.73%E -0.664%K -0.726%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 23:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -8.92%E -0.776%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 20:54
Neds1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -8.92%E -0.776%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 20:54
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 20:54
SportsBet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.08%E -5.96%K -303.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 23:15
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -16.84%E -1.60%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 22:14
TAB1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.32%E -3.16%K -66.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 20:55
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 21:55
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 21:54
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 22:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.04I 96.15%NM 96.10%25.64I 3.90%NM 3.90%0.1%2026-02-26 00:25
BetOpenly1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87%0.2%2026-02-26 00:04
Kalshi1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-02-25 23:59
ProphetX1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61%1.9%2026-02-26 00:25
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 93.58%15.15I 6.60%NM 6.42%2.8%2026-02-26 00:04