L’École des cotes

Belmont Bruins v Evansville Purple Aces

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Belmont Bruins (Local)

Prévision 92.08%1.09cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -3.16%
Kelly -66.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
90.50%92.10%92.02%94.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.031.031.0599.01%96.86%97.09%95.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Evansville Purple Aces (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.92%12.63cote équitable
EV +34.64%
Avantage +2.04%
Kelly +2.16%
Croissance +0.750%

avec la cote maximale 17.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.61%7.90%7.98%9.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
10.0012.0612.0017.0010.00%8.29%8.33%5.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bovada1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -7.00%E -6.93%K -699.91%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +34.64%E +2.04%K +2.16%G +0.750%4.9%2026-02-25 07:14
Fanatics1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +18.80%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252%3.8%2026-02-25 23:24
FanDuel1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.08%E -5.96%K -303.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +18.80%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252%4.7%2026-02-25 23:14
1xBet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.08%E -5.96%K -303.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +2.96%E +0.228%K +0.247%G +0.007%5.7%2026-02-25 23:14
BetUS1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 22:29
888sport1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 20:54
Mr Green (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 20:53
888sport (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 20:55
Virgin Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:15
BetRivers1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:15
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:15
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:14
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:15
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:15
Bally Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:14
ATG (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:14
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:14
Svenska Spel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:14
PointsBet (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.32%E -3.16%K -66.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -4.96%E -0.413%K -0.451%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:05
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.32%E -3.16%K -66.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -4.96%E -0.413%K -0.451%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:05
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.96%E -0.413%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 21:54
BetMGM1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.24%E -4.07%K -105.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.96%E -0.413%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 22:29
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -4.96%E -0.413%K -0.451%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 21:55
GTbets1.05I 95.24%NM 91.89%EV -3.32%E -3.16%K -66.32%G +0.000%11.90I 8.40%NM 8.11%EV -5.75%E -0.483%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:05
BetOnline.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.32%E -3.16%K -66.32%G +0.000%11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -7.42%E -0.634%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 21:00
LowVig.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -3.32%E -3.16%K -66.32%G +0.000%11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -7.42%E -0.634%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 20:59
Fliff1.02I 98.04%NM 91.95%EV -6.08%E -5.96%K -303.92%G +0.000%11.65I 8.58%NM 8.05%EV -7.73%E -0.664%K -0.726%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 23:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -8.92%E -0.776%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 20:54
Neds1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -8.92%E -0.776%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 20:54
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 20:54
SportsBet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.08%E -5.96%K -303.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 23:15
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -16.84%E -1.60%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 22:14
TAB1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.32%E -3.16%K -66.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 20:55
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 21:55
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 21:54
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.16%E -5.01%K -171.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 22:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.04I 96.15%NM 96.10%25.64I 3.90%NM 3.90%0.1%2026-02-26 00:25
BetOpenly1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87%0.2%2026-02-26 00:04
Kalshi1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-02-25 23:59
ProphetX1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61%1.9%2026-02-26 00:25
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 93.58%15.15I 6.60%NM 6.42%2.8%2026-02-26 00:04