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Arkansas St Red Wolves v Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local)
Prediction 78.81%1.27fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -13.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.07%78.85%78.85%79.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.201.211.2385.47%83.13%82.64%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit)
Prediction 21.19%4.72fair odd
EV +0.652%
Edge +0.137%
Kelly +0.174%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.03%21.15%21.15%22.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.494.504.7524.39%22.29%22.22%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local): 78.81%; Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit): 21.19%. For Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.72. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.652%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.652%E +0.137%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.652%E +0.137%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.652%E +0.137%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.652%E +0.137%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.00%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.00%EV -2.74%E -0.597%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-25 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.788%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 23:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 00:13 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 23:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -5.70%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-24 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-24 19:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-24 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.82%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 22:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.82%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 22:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.82%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.25%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-24 19:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.88%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-24 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.88%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-24 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -9.52%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 23:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.06%E -2.49%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -11.00%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.12%E -3.20%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 80.25% | 5.08I 19.69%NM 19.75% | -0.3% | 2026-02-25 00:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-02-24 19:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.95% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.05% | 2.2% | 2026-02-25 01:14 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53% | 2.3% | 2026-02-25 01:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23% | 2.4% | 2026-02-24 23:34 |