La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.23
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.652%E +0.137%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.652%E +0.137%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.652%E +0.137%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| Neds | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.652%E +0.137%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 23:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:15 |
| betPARX | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 23:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.00%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.00%EV -2.74%E -0.597%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-25 00:05 |
| BetUS | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.788%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 23:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 22:55 |
| Bovada | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 00:13 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 23:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 23:40 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 19:05 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -5.70%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:59 |
| Fliff | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-24 23:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-24 19:05 |
| Betsson | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-24 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| Coral | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| Unibet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.82%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 22:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.82%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 22:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.82%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 22:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.25%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-24 19:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.88%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-24 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.88%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-24 22:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -9.52%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 23:39 |
| TAB | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.06%E -2.49%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -11.00%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 23:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.12%E -3.20%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.25I 80.00%NM 80.25% | 5.08I 19.69%NM 19.75% | -0.3% | 2026-02-25 00:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-02-24 19:00 |
| Novig | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.95% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.05% | 2.2% | 2026-02-25 01:14 |
| Kalshi | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53% | 2.3% | 2026-02-25 01:25 |
| ProphetX | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23% | 2.4% | 2026-02-24 23:34 |