L’École des cotes

Arkansas St Red Wolves v Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 01:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arkansas St Red Wolves (Local)

Prévision 78.81%1.27cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -2.49%
Kelly -13.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.07%78.85%78.85%79.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.201.211.2385.47%83.13%82.64%81.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.19%4.72cote équitable
EV +0.652%
Avantage +0.137%
Kelly +0.174%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.03%21.15%21.15%22.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.494.504.7524.39%22.29%22.22%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.652%E +0.137%K +0.174%G +0.001%4.4%2026-02-24 22:54
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.652%E +0.137%K +0.174%G +0.001%4.4%2026-02-24 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.652%E +0.137%K +0.174%G +0.001%5.1%2026-02-24 22:54
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.652%E +0.137%K +0.174%G +0.001%5.1%2026-02-24 22:54
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 23:40
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 22:14
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 22:14
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 22:15
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 22:15
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 22:15
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 22:15
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 22:15
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.53%E -0.549%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 23:40
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 79.00%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.00%EV -2.74%E -0.597%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 00:05
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -3.59%E -0.788%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 22:54
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 23:39
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 22:55
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 22:59
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 22:55
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 00:13
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 23:40
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 23:39
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 23:40
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.65%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 19:05
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -5.70%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 22:59
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.22%E -5.22%K -32.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 23:40
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 19:05
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 19:05
Marathon Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.00%E -5.94%K -38.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-24 22:54
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.76%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-24 22:54
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.82%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 22:14
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.82%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 22:14
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.82%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 22:15
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -7.79%E -6.66%K -45.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.25%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-24 19:04
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.88%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.43%E -4.52%K -27.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.88%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-24 22:15
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -4.64%E -3.83%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -9.52%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 23:39
TAB1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.06%E -2.49%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -11.00%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 23:39
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.85%E -3.16%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.12%E -3.20%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 23:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.25I 80.00%NM 80.25%5.08I 19.69%NM 19.75%-0.3%2026-02-25 00:55
Polymarket1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-02-24 19:00
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 78.95%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.05%2.2%2026-02-25 01:14
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%2.3%2026-02-25 01:25
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-02-24 23:34