Language:English
Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Utah Jazz (Local)
Prediction 9.46%10.57fair odd
EV +29.60%
Edge +2.16%
Kelly +2.33%
Growth +0.690%
assuming max odds 13.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.12%9.77%9.54%13.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.0010.0210.0013.7014.29%9.98%10.00%7.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Denver Nuggets (Visit)
Prediction 90.54%1.10fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -27.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.74%90.23%90.46%92.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.061.061.0898.04%94.69%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Jazz (Local): 9.46%; Denver Nuggets (Visit): 90.54%. For Utah Jazz (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.57. 22 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +29.60%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 13.70I 7.30%NM 7.12%EV +29.60%E +2.16%K +2.33%G +0.690% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.88%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-01 18:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 13.15I 7.60%NM 7.26%EV +24.40%E +1.86%K +2.01%G +0.490% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.74%EV -6.74%E -6.55%K -224.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 00:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +18.25%E +1.46%K +1.59%G +0.290% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 22:43 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +13.52%E +1.13%K +1.23%G +0.166% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 00:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 11.92I 8.39%NM 8.10%EV +12.76%E +1.07%K +1.17%G +0.149% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.90%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 22:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 22:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 00:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 00:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 11.40I 8.77%NM 8.43%EV +7.85%E +0.688%K +0.754%G +0.059% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 00:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 11.05I 9.05%NM 8.75%EV +4.53%E +0.410%K +0.451%G +0.020% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.25%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-01 22:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-01 15:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 00:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 00:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 22:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 02:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 22:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 02:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 00:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 20:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.74%E -6.55%K -224.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 18:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 10.93I 9.15%NM 8.92%EV +3.40%E +0.311%K +0.342%G +0.012% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.08%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-02 01:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 10.90I 9.17%NM 8.86%EV +3.12%E +0.286%K +0.315%G +0.010% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.14%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-01 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -0.669%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 00:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -0.669%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 00:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -0.669%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -7.65%E -7.50%K -382.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-01 22:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 10.18I 9.82%NM 9.35%EV -3.70%E -0.363%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.65%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-02 00:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-01 21:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-01 21:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-01 21:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 00:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 00:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 09:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 01:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 00:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -2.22%E -2.05%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-02 00:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 00:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 21:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 21:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 00:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 19:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 20:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-02 00:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 00:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 00:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -2.22%E -2.05%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -2.22%E -2.05%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -2.22%E -2.05%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 00:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.29%EV -7.65%E -7.50%K -382.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -24.32%E -3.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 00:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -29.05%E -3.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.22%E -2.05%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 01:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -29.05%E -3.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -33.78%E -4.83%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 01:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34% | 0.1% | 2026-04-02 00:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-04-01 03:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-04-01 03:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 00:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 12.82I 7.80%NM 7.70% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.30% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.22% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.78% | 2.6% | 2026-04-02 01:10 |