La escuela de los momios

Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets

Inicio: 2026-04-02 01:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Utah Jazz (Local)

Predicción 9.46%10.57momio equitativo
EV +29.60%
Ventaja +2.16%
Kelly +2.33%
Crecimiento +0.690%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.12%9.77%9.54%13.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.0010.0210.0013.7014.29%9.98%10.00%7.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Denver Nuggets (Visitante)

Predicción 90.54%1.10momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -2.05%
Kelly -27.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.74%90.23%90.46%92.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.021.061.061.0898.04%94.69%94.34%92.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet13.70I 7.30%NM 7.12%EV +29.60%E +2.16%K +2.33%G +0.690%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.88%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 18:59
Fliff13.15I 7.60%NM 7.26%EV +24.40%E +1.86%K +2.01%G +0.490%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.74%EV -6.74%E -6.55%K -224.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 00:44
Caesars12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +18.25%E +1.46%K +1.59%G +0.290%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 22:43
theScore Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +13.52%E +1.13%K +1.23%G +0.166%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 00:44
LowVig.ag11.92I 8.39%NM 8.10%EV +12.76%E +1.07%K +1.17%G +0.149%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.90%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 22:24
BetUS11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 22:29
SportsBet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 00:44
BetAnything11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 00:44
FanDuel11.40I 8.77%NM 8.43%EV +7.85%E +0.688%K +0.754%G +0.059%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 00:45
GTbets11.05I 9.05%NM 8.75%EV +4.53%E +0.410%K +0.451%G +0.020%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.25%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 22:24
DraftKings11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 15:30
Fanatics11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 00:44
Unibet (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 00:49
BetMGM11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 22:40
Betr (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 02:50
BetOnline.ag11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 22:30
William Hill11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 02:49
Dabble (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 00:44
Everygame11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 20:19
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.74%E -6.55%K -224.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 18:38
Pinnacle10.93I 9.15%NM 8.92%EV +3.40%E +0.311%K +0.342%G +0.012%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.08%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-02 01:00
ReBet10.90I 9.17%NM 8.86%EV +3.12%E +0.286%K +0.315%G +0.010%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.14%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -0.669%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 00:55
Neds10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -0.669%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 00:55
NetBet (FR)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -0.669%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -7.65%E -7.50%K -382.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 22:04
MyBookie.ag10.18I 9.82%NM 9.35%EV -3.70%E -0.363%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.65%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 00:15
Unibet (NL)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 00:59
Unibet (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 21:05
ATG (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 21:15
Svenska Spel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 21:05
Coolbet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 00:19
TAB10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 15:30
Marathon Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 00:59
PointsBet (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 09:35
Codere (IT)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 19:05
Coral10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 22:40
Bet Right9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Bovada9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 01:10
BoyleSports9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 00:05
Bet Victor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -2.22%E -2.05%K -27.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 00:59
TABtouch9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 00:59
Unibet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 21:15
Bally Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 21:10
betPARX9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 00:59
BetRivers9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 19:24
Virgin Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 20:24
LiveScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 00:59
Paddy Power9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 00:00
Sky Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 00:04
Unibet (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -2.22%E -2.05%K -27.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 01:00
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -2.22%E -2.05%K -27.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 01:00
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -2.22%E -2.05%K -27.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 00:59
Betsson8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 00:05
NordicBet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 00:05
LeoVegas8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 89.29%EV -7.65%E -7.50%K -382.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-01 21:25
Betway8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -24.32%E -3.04%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 00:59
Hard Rock Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -29.05%E -3.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.22%E -2.05%K -27.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 01:00
Winamax (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -29.05%E -3.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 01:00
Betclic (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -33.78%E -4.83%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 01:08
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66%1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34%0.1%2026-04-02 00:59
Kalshi12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-04-01 03:55
Polymarket12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-04-01 03:25
ProphetX13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-04-02 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-04-02 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-04-02 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-04-02 00:15
Matchbook13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-04-02 01:10
Novig12.82I 7.80%NM 7.70%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.30%1.3%2026-04-02 01:05
Smarkets13.50I 7.41%NM 7.22%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.78%2.6%2026-04-02 01:10