مدرسة الاحتمالات

Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets

البداية: 2026-04-02 01:12 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Utah Jazz (المضيف)

التنبؤ 9.46%10.57السعر العادل
EV +29.60%
الأفضلية +2.16%
Kelly +2.33%
النمو +0.690%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 13.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.12%9.77%9.54%13.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.0010.0210.0013.7014.29%9.98%10.00%7.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Denver Nuggets (الضيف)

التنبؤ 90.54%1.10السعر العادل
EV -2.22%
الأفضلية -2.05%
Kelly -27.71%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.08

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
86.74%90.23%90.46%92.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.021.061.061.0898.04%94.69%94.34%92.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet13.70I 7.30%NM 7.12%EV +29.60%E +2.16%K +2.33%G +0.690%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.88%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 18:59
Fliff13.15I 7.60%NM 7.26%EV +24.40%E +1.86%K +2.01%G +0.490%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.74%EV -6.74%E -6.55%K -224.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 00:44
Caesars12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +18.25%E +1.46%K +1.59%G +0.290%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 22:43
theScore Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +13.52%E +1.13%K +1.23%G +0.166%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 00:44
LowVig.ag11.92I 8.39%NM 8.10%EV +12.76%E +1.07%K +1.17%G +0.149%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.90%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 22:24
BetUS11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 22:29
SportsBet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 00:44
BetAnything11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 00:44
FanDuel11.40I 8.77%NM 8.43%EV +7.85%E +0.688%K +0.754%G +0.059%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 00:45
GTbets11.05I 9.05%NM 8.75%EV +4.53%E +0.410%K +0.451%G +0.020%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.25%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 22:24
DraftKings11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 15:30
Fanatics11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 00:44
Unibet (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 00:49
BetMGM11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 22:40
Betr (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 02:50
BetOnline.ag11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 22:30
William Hill11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 02:49
Dabble (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 00:44
Everygame11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 20:19
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +4.06%E +0.369%K +0.406%G +0.016%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.74%E -6.55%K -224.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 18:38
Pinnacle10.93I 9.15%NM 8.92%EV +3.40%E +0.311%K +0.342%G +0.012%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.08%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-02 01:00
ReBet10.90I 9.17%NM 8.86%EV +3.12%E +0.286%K +0.315%G +0.010%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.14%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -0.669%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 00:55
Neds10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -0.669%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 00:55
NetBet (FR)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -0.669%E -0.064%K -0.070%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -7.65%E -7.50%K -382.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 22:04
MyBookie.ag10.18I 9.82%NM 9.35%EV -3.70%E -0.363%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.65%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 00:15
Unibet (NL)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 00:59
Unibet (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 21:05
ATG (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 21:15
Svenska Spel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 21:05
Coolbet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 00:19
TAB10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 15:30
Marathon Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 00:59
PointsBet (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 09:35
Codere (IT)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 19:05
Coral10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.84%E -5.61%K -145.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 22:40
Bet Right9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Bovada9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 01:10
BoyleSports9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 00:05
Bet Victor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -2.22%E -2.05%K -27.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 00:59
TABtouch9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 00:59
Unibet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 21:15
Bally Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 21:10
betPARX9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 00:59
BetRivers9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 19:24
Virgin Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 20:24
LiveScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.03%E -3.80%K -67.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 00:59
Paddy Power9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 00:00
Sky Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.93%E -4.70%K -98.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 00:04
Unibet (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -2.22%E -2.05%K -27.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 01:00
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -2.22%E -2.05%K -27.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 01:00
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -2.22%E -2.05%K -27.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 00:59
Betsson8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 00:05
NordicBet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 00:05
LeoVegas8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 89.29%EV -7.65%E -7.50%K -382.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-01 21:25
Betway8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -24.32%E -3.04%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 00:59
Hard Rock Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -29.05%E -3.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.22%E -2.05%K -27.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 01:00
Winamax (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -29.05%E -3.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 01:00
Betclic (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -33.78%E -4.83%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -3.12%E -2.92%K -44.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 01:08
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66%1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34%0.1%2026-04-02 00:59
Kalshi12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-04-01 03:55
Polymarket12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-04-01 03:25
ProphetX13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-04-02 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-04-02 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-04-02 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-04-02 00:15
Matchbook13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-04-02 01:10
Novig12.82I 7.80%NM 7.70%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.30%1.3%2026-04-02 01:05
Smarkets13.50I 7.41%NM 7.22%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.78%2.6%2026-04-02 01:10