Language:English
Sacramento Kings v Golden State Warriors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sacramento Kings (Local)
Prediction 20.25%4.94fair odd
EV +10.37%
Edge +1.90%
Kelly +2.33%
Growth +0.241%
assuming max odds 5.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.05%20.37%20.17%22.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.054.704.715.4524.69%21.27%21.25%18.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Golden State Warriors (Visit)
Prediction 79.75%1.25fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -12.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.59%79.63%79.83%81.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.201.201.2287.72%83.68%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacramento Kings (Local): 20.25%; Golden State Warriors (Visit): 79.75%. For Sacramento Kings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.94. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 18.05%EV +10.37%E +1.90%K +2.33%G +0.241% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-04-10 19:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +3.28%E +0.643%K +0.799%G +0.026% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.90%E -5.00%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 02:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +1.25%E +0.251%K +0.313%G +0.004% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 02:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +1.25%E +0.251%K +0.313%G +0.004% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.25%E +0.251%K +0.313%G +0.004% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.90%E -5.00%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 18:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.25%E +0.251%K +0.313%G +0.004% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.90%E -5.00%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 02:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.25%E +0.251%K +0.313%G +0.004% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 05:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 01:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 01:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 01:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 01:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 02:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 01:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.83I 20.70%NM 20.03%EV -2.19%E -0.453%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.97%EV -3.50%E -2.90%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -2.19%E -0.453%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 02:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 01:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 01:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 22:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 19:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.90%E -5.00%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 02:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 02:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.81%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.81%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 12:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.81%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 02:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.81%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 02:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.81%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 12:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.81%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.90%E -5.00%K -32.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 02:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.17%EV -4.62%E -0.981%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.83%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 01:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 01:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 01:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 01:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 01:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 01:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 01:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 02:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -2.71%E -2.22%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 02:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -2.71%E -2.22%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 01:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 01:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 02:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.71%E -2.22%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 02:03 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 03:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 03:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 03:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 04:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 19:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 01:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.71%E -2.22%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 02:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.50%E -2.90%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.42%EV -9.09%E -7.97%K -64.90%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 01:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.32%E -2.84%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 21:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -12.92%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.71%E -2.22%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 09:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -12.92%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.71%E -2.22%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 09:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -12.92%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.41%EV -17.99%E -4.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.59%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 02:03 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.25% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.75% | -0.1% | 2026-04-11 01:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16% | 0.2% | 2026-04-11 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.65% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.35% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 02:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.15% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.85% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 02:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 02:05 |