مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sacramento Kings v Golden State Warriors

البداية: 2026-04-11 02:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sacramento Kings (المضيف)

التنبؤ 20.25%4.94السعر العادل
EV +10.37%
الأفضلية +1.90%
Kelly +2.33%
النمو +0.241%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.05%20.37%20.17%22.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.054.704.715.4524.69%21.27%21.25%18.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Golden State Warriors (الضيف)

التنبؤ 79.75%1.25السعر العادل
EV -2.71%
الأفضلية -2.22%
Kelly -12.30%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.22

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
77.59%79.63%79.83%81.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.141.201.201.2287.72%83.68%83.33%81.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet5.45I 18.35%NM 18.05%EV +10.37%E +1.90%K +2.33%G +0.241%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-10 19:30
Fliff5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +3.28%E +0.643%K +0.799%G +0.026%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.90%E -5.00%K -32.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 02:05
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +1.25%E +0.251%K +0.313%G +0.004%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 02:00
BetAnything5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +1.25%E +0.251%K +0.313%G +0.004%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 17:30
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.25%E +0.251%K +0.313%G +0.004%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.90%E -5.00%K -32.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 18:14
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.25%E +0.251%K +0.313%G +0.004%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.90%E -5.00%K -32.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 02:05
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.25%E +0.251%K +0.313%G +0.004%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 05:01
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 02:00
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 01:45
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 01:45
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 01:45
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 01:45
LowVig.ag4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 02:00
BetUS4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 01:55
Pinnacle4.83I 20.70%NM 20.03%EV -2.19%E -0.453%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.97%EV -3.50%E -2.90%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 02:05
BetOnline.ag4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -2.19%E -0.453%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 02:00
Unibet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 01:50
Coolbet4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 19:25
Betr (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 19:25
Marathon Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 01:50
DraftKings4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 22:00
TAB4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 19:24
theScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.90%E -5.00%K -32.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 02:00
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 02:05
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.81%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 21:59
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.81%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 12:09
Hard Rock Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.81%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 02:00
GTbets4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.81%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 02:05
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.81%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 12:24
Dabble (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.81%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.90%E -5.00%K -32.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 02:05
MyBookie.ag4.71I 21.23%NM 20.17%EV -4.62%E -0.981%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.83%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 01:54
Codere (IT)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 01:55
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 01:45
Unibet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 01:45
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 01:45
Bally Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 01:45
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 01:45
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 01:45
Virgin Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 01:45
NetBet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 02:00
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -2.71%E -2.22%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 02:00
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -2.71%E -2.22%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 01:55
Neds4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 01:55
Bovada4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 02:05
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.71%E -2.22%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 02:03
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 11:30
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 03:55
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 03:55
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 03:54
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 04:04
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 02:00
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 19:39
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 01:45
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.71%E -2.22%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 02:00
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.50%E -2.90%K -16.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 23:30
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.42%EV -9.09%E -7.97%K -64.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 01:45
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.32%E -2.84%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 21:10
NordicBet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -12.92%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.71%E -2.22%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 09:34
Betsson4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -12.92%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.71%E -2.22%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 09:34
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -12.92%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 02:00
Betclic (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 22.41%EV -17.99%E -4.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.59%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 02:03
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly5.20I 19.23%NM 19.25%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.75%-0.1%2026-04-11 01:51
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%0.2%2026-04-11 02:05
Novig5.32I 18.80%NM 18.65%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.35%0.8%2026-04-11 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-04-11 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-04-11 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-04-11 02:05
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%1.0%2026-04-11 02:05
Polymarket5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%1.3%2026-04-11 02:00
ProphetX5.15I 19.42%NM 19.15%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.85%1.4%2026-04-11 02:05
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12%1.9%2026-04-11 02:05