L’École des cotes

Sacramento Kings v Golden State Warriors

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 02:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sacramento Kings (Local)

Prévision 20.25%4.94cote équitable
EV +10.37%
Avantage +1.90%
Kelly +2.33%
Croissance +0.241%

avec la cote maximale 5.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.05%20.37%20.17%22.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.054.704.715.4524.69%21.27%21.25%18.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Golden State Warriors (Visiteur)

Prévision 79.75%1.25cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -2.22%
Kelly -12.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.59%79.63%79.83%81.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.201.201.2287.72%83.68%83.33%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet5.45I 18.35%NM 18.05%EV +10.37%E +1.90%K +2.33%G +0.241%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-10 19:30
Fliff5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +3.28%E +0.643%K +0.799%G +0.026%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.90%E -5.00%K -32.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 02:05
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +1.25%E +0.251%K +0.313%G +0.004%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 02:00
BetAnything5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +1.25%E +0.251%K +0.313%G +0.004%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 17:30
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.25%E +0.251%K +0.313%G +0.004%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.90%E -5.00%K -32.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 18:14
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.25%E +0.251%K +0.313%G +0.004%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.90%E -5.00%K -32.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 02:05
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.25%E +0.251%K +0.313%G +0.004%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 05:01
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 02:00
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 01:45
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 01:45
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 01:45
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 01:45
LowVig.ag4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 02:00
BetUS4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.772%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 01:55
Pinnacle4.83I 20.70%NM 20.03%EV -2.19%E -0.453%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.97%EV -3.50%E -2.90%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 02:05
BetOnline.ag4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -2.19%E -0.453%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 02:00
Unibet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 01:50
Coolbet4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 19:25
Betr (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 19:25
Marathon Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 01:50
DraftKings4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 22:00
TAB4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 19:24
theScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.90%E -5.00%K -32.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 02:00
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -2.80%E -0.583%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 02:05
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.81%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 21:59
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.81%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 12:09
Hard Rock Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.81%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 02:00
GTbets4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.81%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 02:05
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.81%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 12:24
Dabble (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.81%E -0.802%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.90%E -5.00%K -32.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 02:05
MyBookie.ag4.71I 21.23%NM 20.17%EV -4.62%E -0.981%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.83%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 01:54
Codere (IT)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 01:55
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 01:45
Unibet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 01:45
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 01:45
Bally Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 01:45
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 01:45
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 01:45
Virgin Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.10%E -4.28%K -26.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 01:45
NetBet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 02:00
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -2.71%E -2.22%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 02:00
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -2.71%E -2.22%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 01:55
Neds4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 01:55
Bovada4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.85%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 02:05
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.71%E -2.22%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 02:03
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 11:30
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 03:55
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 03:55
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 03:54
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 04:04
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 02:00
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 19:39
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 01:45
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.71%E -2.22%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 02:00
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.50%E -2.90%K -16.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 23:30
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -10.90%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.42%EV -9.09%E -7.97%K -64.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 01:45
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.32%E -2.84%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 21:10
NordicBet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -12.92%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.71%E -2.22%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 09:34
Betsson4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -12.92%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.71%E -2.22%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 09:34
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -12.92%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.30%E -3.58%K -21.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 02:00
Betclic (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 22.41%EV -17.99%E -4.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.59%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 02:03
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly5.20I 19.23%NM 19.25%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.75%-0.1%2026-04-11 01:51
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%0.2%2026-04-11 02:05
Novig5.32I 18.80%NM 18.65%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.35%0.8%2026-04-11 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-04-11 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-04-11 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-04-11 02:05
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%1.0%2026-04-11 02:05
Polymarket5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%1.3%2026-04-11 02:00
ProphetX5.15I 19.42%NM 19.15%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.85%1.4%2026-04-11 02:05
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12%1.9%2026-04-11 02:05