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Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Phoenix Suns (Local)
Prediction 32.43%3.08fair odd
EV +0.541%
Edge +0.175%
Kelly +0.258%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%32.40%32.51%33.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.962.953.1035.71%33.82%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Denver Nuggets (Visit)
Prediction 67.57%1.48fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -6.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.43%67.60%67.49%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.411.411.4474.63%71.10%70.92%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Phoenix Suns (Local): 32.43%; Denver Nuggets (Visit): 67.57%. For Phoenix Suns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.541%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.541%E +0.175%K +0.258%G +0.001% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.11%E -5.96%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-25 03:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-25 03:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.08%E -4.38%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -1.73%E -0.571%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.98%EV -2.05%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.02%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -2.05%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-25 03:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -2.38%E -0.790%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 03:08 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 03:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-25 03:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-25 03:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.43%E -5.43%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-25 03:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.11%E -5.96%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-25 03:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.51%EV -3.03%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.49%EV -2.70%E -1.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-25 03:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-25 02:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -2.70%E -1.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.38%E -2.36%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 02:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.38%E -2.36%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.38%E -2.36%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.38%E -2.36%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 02:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-25 03:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.76%E -4.90%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.11%E -5.96%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -4.65%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-25 02:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.97%E -1.70%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 03:02 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.70%E -1.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 03:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 03:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.43%E -5.43%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-25 03:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-25 03:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-25 02:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -9.46%E -7.06%K -27.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-25 03:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.92%E -2.41%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.92%E -2.41%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.57%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.70%E -1.88%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.57%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-25 03:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.57%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-25 03:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.57%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.76%E -4.90%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -9.19%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.14I 31.85%NM 31.74% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.26% | 0.3% | 2026-03-25 02:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-03-25 03:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.17I 31.55%NM 31.09% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.91% | 1.5% | 2026-03-25 03:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 2.0% | 2026-03-25 03:10 |