Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets

Início: 2026-03-25 03:12 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Previsão 32.43%3.08odd justa
EV +0.541%
Vantagem +0.175%
Kelly +0.258%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.49%32.40%32.51%33.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.962.953.1035.71%33.82%33.90%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Denver Nuggets (Visitante)

Previsão 67.57%1.48odd justa
EV -2.70%
Vantagem -1.88%
Kelly -6.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.43%67.60%67.49%69.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.341.411.411.4474.63%71.10%70.92%69.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Phoenix Suns (Local): 32.43%; Denver Nuggets (Visitante): 67.57%. Para Phoenix Suns (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.08. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.541%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.541%E +0.175%K +0.258%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.11%E -5.96%K -22.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-25 03:09
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 03:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 03:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 03:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 03:10
Caesars🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 03:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 03:10
Fliff🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.08%E -4.38%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 03:10
BetUS🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -1.73%E -0.571%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-25 03:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.98%EV -2.05%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.02%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-25 03:10
Coolbet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -2.05%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 03:09
SportsBet🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -2.38%E -0.790%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-25 03:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 03:10
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 03:08
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 03:09
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 03:10
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 03:10
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 03:09
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 03:10
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 03:09
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 03:10
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 03:10
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.43%E -5.43%K -20.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-25 03:08
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.11%E -5.96%K -22.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 03:09
Pinnacle🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 32.51%EV -3.03%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.49%EV -2.70%E -1.88%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-25 03:09
FanDuel🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 03:10
ReBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 02:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -2.70%E -1.88%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-25 03:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.38%E -2.36%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 02:59
BetAnything🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.38%E -2.36%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 03:10
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.38%E -2.36%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 03:10
theScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.38%E -2.36%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 03:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 02:59
GTbets🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 03:09
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 03:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 03:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.76%E -4.90%K -17.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-25 03:10
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.11%E -5.96%K -22.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-25 03:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -4.65%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-25 02:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.97%E -1.70%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 03:02
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.70%E -1.88%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 03:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 03:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 03:09
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 03:10
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 03:10
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 03:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.43%E -5.43%K -20.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-25 03:01
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 03:09
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 03:10
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 02:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 03:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -9.46%E -7.06%K -27.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-25 03:09
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.92%E -2.41%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-25 03:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.92%E -2.41%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-25 03:10
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.57%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.70%E -1.88%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-25 03:10
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.57%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 03:09
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.57%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 03:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.57%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.76%E -4.90%K -17.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-25 03:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -9.19%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-25 03:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly3.14I 31.85%NM 31.74%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.26%0.3%2026-03-25 02:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-03-25 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-03-25 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-03-25 03:10
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-03-25 03:09
ProphetX3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-03-25 03:10
Polymarket3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-03-25 03:10
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-03-25 03:10
Novig3.17I 31.55%NM 31.09%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.91%1.5%2026-03-25 03:09
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%2.0%2026-03-25 03:10