La escuela de los momios

Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets

Inicio: 2026-03-25 03:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Predicción 32.43%3.08momio equitativo
EV +0.541%
Ventaja +0.175%
Kelly +0.258%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.49%32.40%32.51%33.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.962.953.1035.71%33.82%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Denver Nuggets (Visitante)

Predicción 67.57%1.48momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -6.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.43%67.60%67.49%69.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.411.411.4474.63%71.10%70.92%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.541%E +0.175%K +0.258%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.11%E -5.96%K -22.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-25 03:09
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 03:09
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 03:10
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 03:10
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 03:10
Caesars3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 03:10
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 03:10
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.08%E -0.354%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.08%E -4.38%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 03:10
BetUS3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -1.73%E -0.571%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-25 03:10
LowVig.ag3.02I 33.11%NM 31.98%EV -2.05%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.02%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-25 03:10
Coolbet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -2.05%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 03:09
SportsBet3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -2.38%E -0.790%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-25 03:10
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 03:10
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 03:08
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 03:09
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 03:10
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 03:10
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 03:09
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 03:10
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 03:09
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 03:10
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 03:10
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.43%E -5.43%K -20.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-25 03:08
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.70%E -0.901%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.11%E -5.96%K -22.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 03:09
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 32.51%EV -3.03%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.49%EV -2.70%E -1.88%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-25 03:09
FanDuel2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 03:10
ReBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 02:59
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -2.70%E -1.88%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-25 03:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.38%E -2.36%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 02:59
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.38%E -2.36%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 03:10
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.38%E -2.36%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 03:10
theScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.38%E -2.36%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 03:10
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 02:59
GTbets2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 03:09
Neds2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 03:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 03:10
Dabble (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.76%E -4.90%K -17.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-25 03:10
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.11%E -5.96%K -22.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-25 03:10
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -4.65%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-25 02:59
MyBookie.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.97%E -1.70%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 03:02
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.70%E -1.88%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 03:10
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 03:00
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 03:09
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 03:10
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 03:10
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 03:10
NetBet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.43%E -5.43%K -20.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-25 03:01
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 03:09
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 03:10
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 02:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 03:10
Betclic (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -9.46%E -7.06%K -27.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-25 03:09
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.92%E -2.41%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-25 03:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.92%E -2.41%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.41%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-25 03:10
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.57%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.70%E -1.88%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-25 03:10
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.57%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 03:09
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.57%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.05%E -2.86%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 03:09
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.57%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.76%E -4.90%K -17.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-25 03:10
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -9.19%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-25 03:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly3.14I 31.85%NM 31.74%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.26%0.3%2026-03-25 02:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-03-25 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-03-25 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-03-25 03:10
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-03-25 03:09
ProphetX3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-03-25 03:10
Polymarket3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-03-25 03:10
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-03-25 03:10
Novig3.17I 31.55%NM 31.09%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.91%1.5%2026-03-25 03:09
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%2.0%2026-03-25 03:10