Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.26
assuming max odds 6.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Phoenix Suns (Local): 81.58%; Chicago Bulls (Visit): 18.42%. For Chicago Bulls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.43. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.50%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV +2.80%E +2.22%K +10.75%G +0.300% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -30.02%E -7.90%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -0.468%E -0.384%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -26.33%E -6.58%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.86%EV -2.10%E -1.75%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 19.14%EV -6.63%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 02:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.10%E -1.75%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.10%E -1.75%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -2.92%E -2.45%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004% | 2.9% | 2026-03-06 02:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 02:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.93%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.07%EV -1.47%E -0.275%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.87%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 18.13%EV -1.84%E -0.345%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:06 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 01:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 02:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 02:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -2.39%E -0.451%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 01:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 02:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 01:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 02:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.10%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.90%EV -2.02%E -0.380%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 01:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 02:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 02:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 02:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.99%E -6.14%K -49.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +10.50%E +1.75%K +2.10%G +0.220% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.99%E -6.14%K -49.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.14%K -49.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.99%E -6.14%K -49.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.81%E -6.91%K -60.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 02:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -9.44%E -8.51%K -85.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +10.50%E +1.75%K +2.10%G +0.220% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -9.44%E -8.51%K -85.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +10.50%E +1.75%K +2.10%G +0.220% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 84.32% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.68% | -0.3% | 2026-03-06 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.64% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 18.36% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.3% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.3% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.47% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |