Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Phoenix Suns v Chicago Bulls

Início: 2026-03-06 02:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Previsão 81.58%1.23odd justa
EV +2.80%
Vantagem +2.22%
Kelly +10.75%
Crescimento +0.300%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.10%81.30%81.64%84.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.111.171.171.2690.09%85.69%85.47%79.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Bulls (Visitante)

Previsão 18.42%5.43odd justa
EV +10.50%
Vantagem +1.75%
Kelly +2.10%
Crescimento +0.220%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.61%18.70%18.36%24.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.805.165.206.0026.32%19.39%19.23%16.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Phoenix Suns (Local): 81.58%; Chicago Bulls (Visitante): 18.42%. Para Chicago Bulls (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.43. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +10.50%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV +2.80%E +2.22%K +10.75%G +0.300%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -30.02%E -7.90%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -0.468%E -0.384%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -26.33%E -6.58%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 02:10
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.86%EV -2.10%E -1.75%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 19.14%EV -6.63%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-06 02:09
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.10%E -1.75%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 02:10
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.10%E -1.75%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 02:10
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -2.92%E -2.45%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 02:10
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%2.9%2026-03-06 02:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-06 02:09
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.93%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.07%EV -1.47%E -0.275%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.87%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 18.13%EV -1.84%E -0.345%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-06 02:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 02:10
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 02:10
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 02:10
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 02:10
Neds🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:10
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:06
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 01:59
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 02:09
Everygame🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 02:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 02:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -2.39%E -0.451%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 01:59
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 02:09
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 02:10
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 02:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 01:58
Codere (IT)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:04
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 02:10
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:10
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:00
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%4.4%2026-03-06 02:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%4.4%2026-03-06 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:10
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:10
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:10
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.10%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.90%EV -2.02%E -0.380%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:59
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:10
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:10
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:10
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 02:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 02:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 02:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 02:10
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 02:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 02:09
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.99%E -6.14%K -49.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +10.50%E +1.75%K +2.10%G +0.220%4.4%2026-03-06 02:10
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.99%E -6.14%K -49.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%5.9%2026-03-06 02:10
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.14%K -49.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 02:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.99%E -6.14%K -49.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 02:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.81%E -6.91%K -60.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 02:01
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -9.44%E -8.51%K -85.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +10.50%E +1.75%K +2.10%G +0.220%6.8%2026-03-06 02:10
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -9.44%E -8.51%K -85.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +10.50%E +1.75%K +2.10%G +0.220%6.8%2026-03-06 02:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.19I 84.03%NM 84.32%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.68%-0.3%2026-03-06 01:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-03-06 02:10
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 81.64%5.38I 18.59%NM 18.36%1.2%2026-03-06 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%1.3%2026-03-06 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%1.3%2026-03-06 02:10
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-03-06 02:10
Polymarket1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-03-06 02:10
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.47%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53%1.9%2026-03-06 02:10
ProphetX1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%7.0%2026-03-06 02:10