La escuela de los momios

Phoenix Suns v Chicago Bulls

Inicio: 2026-03-06 02:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Predicción 81.58%1.23momio equitativo
EV +2.80%
Ventaja +2.22%
Kelly +10.75%
Crecimiento +0.300%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.10%81.30%81.64%84.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.171.171.2690.09%85.69%85.47%79.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Bulls (Visitante)

Predicción 18.42%5.43momio equitativo
EV +10.50%
Ventaja +1.75%
Kelly +2.10%
Crecimiento +0.220%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.61%18.70%18.36%24.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.805.165.206.0026.32%19.39%19.23%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV +2.80%E +2.22%K +10.75%G +0.300%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -30.02%E -7.90%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -0.468%E -0.384%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -26.33%E -6.58%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 02:10
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 80.86%EV -2.10%E -1.75%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 19.14%EV -6.63%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-06 02:09
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.10%E -1.75%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 02:10
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.10%E -1.75%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 02:10
FanDuel1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -2.92%E -2.45%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 02:10
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%2.9%2026-03-06 02:04
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-06 02:09
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 81.93%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.07%EV -1.47%E -0.275%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 02:10
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.87%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 18.13%EV -1.84%E -0.345%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-06 02:10
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 02:10
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 02:10
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 02:10
BetAnything1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 02:10
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:10
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:06
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.73%E -3.16%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:10
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 01:59
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 02:09
Everygame1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 02:09
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 02:10
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 02:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -2.39%E -0.451%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 01:59
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 02:09
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 02:10
BetMGM1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 02:10
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 01:58
Codere (IT)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:04
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 02:10
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:10
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:00
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:10
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%4.4%2026-03-06 02:10
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%4.4%2026-03-06 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:10
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:10
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:10
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:10
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:10
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.551%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:10
MyBookie.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.10%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.90%EV -2.02%E -0.380%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:59
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:10
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:10
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:10
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 02:10
DraftKings1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 02:10
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -5.36%E -4.62%K -33.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 02:10
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 02:08
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 02:10
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 02:09
Dabble (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.18%E -5.37%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 02:09
PlayUp1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.99%E -6.14%K -49.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +10.50%E +1.75%K +2.10%G +0.220%4.4%2026-03-06 02:10
theScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.99%E -6.14%K -49.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%5.9%2026-03-06 02:10
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.99%E -6.14%K -49.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 02:10
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.99%E -6.14%K -49.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 02:10
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.81%E -6.91%K -60.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 02:01
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -9.44%E -8.51%K -85.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +10.50%E +1.75%K +2.10%G +0.220%6.8%2026-03-06 02:10
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -9.44%E -8.51%K -85.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +10.50%E +1.75%K +2.10%G +0.220%6.8%2026-03-06 02:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.19I 84.03%NM 84.32%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.68%-0.3%2026-03-06 01:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-03-06 02:10
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 81.64%5.38I 18.59%NM 18.36%1.2%2026-03-06 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%1.3%2026-03-06 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%1.3%2026-03-06 02:10
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-03-06 02:10
Polymarket1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-03-06 02:10
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.47%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.53%1.9%2026-03-06 02:10
ProphetX1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%7.0%2026-03-06 02:10