Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando Magic v Washington Wizards

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando Magic (Local)

Prediction 86.91%1.15fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -22.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.41%86.70%86.93%88.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.101.101.1293.46%90.79%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Wizards (Visit)

Prediction 13.09%7.64fair odd
EV +6.04%
Edge +0.745%
Kelly +0.850%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 8.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.86%13.30%13.07%15.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.907.167.208.1016.95%13.97%13.89%12.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orlando Magic (Local): 86.91%; Washington Wizards (Visit): 13.09%. For Washington Wizards (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.64. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.54%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +6.04%E +0.745%K +0.850%G +0.051%4.1%2026-03-12 22:50
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.88%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 12.12%EV +5.38%E +0.668%K +0.763%G +0.041%2.5%2026-03-12 22:50
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.14%E -5.68%K -76.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.73%E +0.591%K +0.675%G +0.032%5.1%2026-03-12 22:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.14%E -5.68%K -76.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.73%E +0.591%K +0.675%G +0.032%5.1%2026-03-12 23:00
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.36%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.67I 13.04%NM 12.64%EV +0.406%E +0.053%K +0.061%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 22:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.47%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.54%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.53%EV -0.379%E -0.050%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 21:44
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -0.510%E -0.067%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.21%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.57I 13.21%NM 12.79%EV -0.903%E -0.119%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 21:20
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 87.01%EV -2.66%E -2.38%K -22.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-12 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:50
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 21:20
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 21:19
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 21:10
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV -3.13%E -0.423%K -0.489%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -3.52%E -0.478%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 21:20
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -4.44%E -0.608%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -5.09%E -0.702%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 22:49
Everygame🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -5.09%E -0.702%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 22:55
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -5.09%E -0.702%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 22:55
Bovada🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -5.09%E -0.702%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 22:58
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.01%E -6.55%K -100.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -5.09%E -0.702%K -0.815%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 23:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -5.75%E -0.798%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 21:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -5.75%E -0.798%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.14%E -5.68%K -76.73%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -5.75%E -0.798%K -0.927%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 14:50
TAB🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 14:40
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:00
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:00
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:00
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:05
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 22:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 22:20
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 22:20
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.14%E -5.68%K -76.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:05
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.14%E -5.68%K -76.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.66%E -2.38%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 22:55
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 22:45
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 23:05
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:59
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.14%E -5.68%K -76.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.66%E -2.38%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -18.18%E -2.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:05
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.66%E -2.38%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -18.18%E -2.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.41%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.54%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -22.76%E -3.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-12 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 88.41%8.62I 11.60%NM 11.59%0.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Kalshi1.12I 89.29%NM 89.03%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.97%0.3%2026-03-12 23:05
BetOpenly1.12I 89.29%NM 88.97%9.03I 11.07%NM 11.03%0.4%2026-03-12 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-03-12 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-03-12 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-03-12 22:50
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-03-12 22:45
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41%0.8%2026-03-12 23:00
Polymarket1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-03-12 22:05
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34%2.5%2026-03-12 23:00