A Escola das Odds

Orlando Magic v Washington Wizards

Início: 2026-03-12 23:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Orlando Magic (Local)

Previsão 86.91%1.15odd justa
EV -2.66%
Vantagem -2.38%
Kelly -22.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
84.41%86.70%86.93%88.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.071.101.101.1293.46%90.79%90.91%89.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Washington Wizards (Visitante)

Previsão 13.09%7.64odd justa
EV +6.04%
Vantagem +0.745%
Kelly +0.850%
Crescimento +0.051%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.86%13.30%13.07%15.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.907.167.208.1016.95%13.97%13.89%12.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.54%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +6.04%E +0.745%K +0.850%G +0.051%4.1%2026-03-12 22:50
1xBet1.11I 90.09%NM 87.88%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 12.12%EV +5.38%E +0.668%K +0.763%G +0.041%2.5%2026-03-12 22:50
theScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.14%E -5.68%K -76.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.73%E +0.591%K +0.675%G +0.032%5.1%2026-03-12 22:25
Dabble (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.14%E -5.68%K -76.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.73%E +0.591%K +0.675%G +0.032%5.1%2026-03-12 23:00
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 87.36%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.67I 13.04%NM 12.64%EV +0.406%E +0.053%K +0.061%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 22:55
MyBookie.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.47%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.54%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.53%EV -0.379%E -0.050%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 21:44
FanDuel1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -0.510%E -0.067%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 22:55
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 87.21%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.57I 13.21%NM 12.79%EV -0.903%E -0.119%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 21:20
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 87.01%EV -2.66%E -2.38%K -22.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-12 23:00
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:00
ATG (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:00
Svenska Spel1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:00
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:45
PointsBet (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:50
ReBet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 21:20
Coolbet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 21:19
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 20:10
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:05
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 21:10
GTbets1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV -3.13%E -0.423%K -0.489%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 22:55
BetOnline.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -3.52%E -0.478%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 21:20
BetUS1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -4.44%E -0.608%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 14:25
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -5.09%E -0.702%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 22:49
Everygame1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -5.09%E -0.702%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 22:55
BetAnything1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -5.09%E -0.702%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 22:55
Bovada1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -5.09%E -0.702%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 22:58
NetBet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.01%E -6.55%K -100.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -5.09%E -0.702%K -0.815%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 23:00
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -5.75%E -0.798%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 21:25
Marathon Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -5.75%E -0.798%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 22:50
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.14%E -5.68%K -76.73%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -5.75%E -0.798%K -0.927%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 14:50
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 14:40
TABtouch1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:00
Unibet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:00
betPARX1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:00
Bally Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:00
Neds1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:05
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 22:24
LiveScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:00
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:00
Virgin Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 22:20
Coral1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 22:20
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.14%E -5.68%K -76.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:05
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 22:50
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 23:00
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.14%E -5.68%K -76.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 22:55
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.66%E -2.38%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 22:55
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 22:45
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:45
Hard Rock Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 23:05
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:59
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.14%E -5.68%K -76.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 23:05
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.66%E -2.38%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -18.18%E -2.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:05
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.66%E -2.38%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -18.18%E -2.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.41%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.54%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -22.76%E -3.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-12 23:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 88.41%8.62I 11.60%NM 11.59%0.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Kalshi1.12I 89.29%NM 89.03%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.97%0.3%2026-03-12 23:05
BetOpenly1.12I 89.29%NM 88.97%9.03I 11.07%NM 11.03%0.4%2026-03-12 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-03-12 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-03-12 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-03-12 22:50
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-03-12 22:45
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41%0.8%2026-03-12 23:00
Polymarket1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-03-12 22:05
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34%2.5%2026-03-12 23:00