L’École des cotes

Orlando Magic v Washington Wizards

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-12 23:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Orlando Magic (Local)

Prévision 86.91%1.15cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -2.38%
Kelly -22.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.41%86.70%86.93%88.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.071.101.101.1293.46%90.79%90.91%89.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Wizards (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.09%7.64cote équitable
EV +6.04%
Avantage +0.745%
Kelly +0.850%
Croissance +0.051%

avec la cote maximale 8.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.86%13.30%13.07%15.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.907.167.208.1016.95%13.97%13.89%12.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.54%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +6.04%E +0.745%K +0.850%G +0.051%4.1%2026-03-12 22:50
1xBet1.11I 90.09%NM 87.88%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 12.12%EV +5.38%E +0.668%K +0.763%G +0.041%2.5%2026-03-12 22:50
theScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.14%E -5.68%K -76.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.73%E +0.591%K +0.675%G +0.032%5.1%2026-03-12 22:25
Dabble (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.14%E -5.68%K -76.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.73%E +0.591%K +0.675%G +0.032%5.1%2026-03-12 23:00
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 87.36%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.67I 13.04%NM 12.64%EV +0.406%E +0.053%K +0.061%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 22:55
MyBookie.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.47%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.54%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.53%EV -0.379%E -0.050%K -0.057%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 21:44
FanDuel1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -0.510%E -0.067%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 22:55
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 87.21%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.57I 13.21%NM 12.79%EV -0.903%E -0.119%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 21:20
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 87.01%EV -2.66%E -2.38%K -22.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-12 23:00
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:00
ATG (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:00
Svenska Spel1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 23:00
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:45
PointsBet (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:50
ReBet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 21:20
Coolbet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 21:19
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 20:10
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:05
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.82%E -0.243%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 21:10
GTbets1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV -3.13%E -0.423%K -0.489%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 22:55
BetOnline.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -3.52%E -0.478%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 21:20
BetUS1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -4.44%E -0.608%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 14:25
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -5.09%E -0.702%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 22:49
Everygame1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -5.09%E -0.702%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 22:55
BetAnything1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -5.09%E -0.702%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 22:55
Bovada1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -5.09%E -0.702%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 22:58
NetBet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.01%E -6.55%K -100.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -5.09%E -0.702%K -0.815%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 23:00
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -5.75%E -0.798%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 21:25
Marathon Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -5.75%E -0.798%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 22:50
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.14%E -5.68%K -76.73%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -5.75%E -0.798%K -0.927%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 14:50
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 14:40
TABtouch1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:00
Unibet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:00
betPARX1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:00
Bally Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:00
Neds1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:05
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 22:24
LiveScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:00
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:00
Virgin Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 22:20
Coral1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 22:20
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.14%E -5.68%K -76.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:05
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 22:50
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 23:00
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.14%E -5.68%K -76.73%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 22:55
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.66%E -2.38%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 22:55
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 22:45
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:45
Hard Rock Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 23:05
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -44.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:59
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.14%E -5.68%K -76.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 23:05
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.66%E -2.38%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -18.18%E -2.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:05
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.66%E -2.38%K -22.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -18.18%E -2.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.41%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.54%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -22.76%E -3.86%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-12 23:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 88.41%8.62I 11.60%NM 11.59%0.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Kalshi1.12I 89.29%NM 89.03%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.97%0.3%2026-03-12 23:05
BetOpenly1.12I 89.29%NM 88.97%9.03I 11.07%NM 11.03%0.4%2026-03-12 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-03-12 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-03-12 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-03-12 22:50
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-03-12 22:45
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41%0.8%2026-03-12 23:00
Polymarket1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-03-12 22:05
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34%2.5%2026-03-12 23:00