Language:English
Orlando Magic v Minnesota Timberwolves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orlando Magic (Local)
Prediction 80.23%1.25fair odd
EV -0.517%
Edge -0.417%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.06%80.16%80.15%82.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.191.181.2488.50%84.31%84.75%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit)
Prediction 19.77%5.06fair odd
EV +4.79%
Edge +0.904%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.053%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.97%19.84%19.85%21.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.864.835.3023.26%20.59%20.70%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orlando Magic (Local): 80.23%; Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit): 19.77%. For Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.06. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +4.79%E +0.904%K +1.11%G +0.053% | 3.6% | 2026-04-08 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +4.79%E +0.904%K +1.11%G +0.053% | 3.6% | 2026-04-08 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +4.79%E +0.904%K +1.11%G +0.053% | 3.6% | 2026-04-08 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +4.79%E +0.904%K +1.11%G +0.053% | 3.6% | 2026-04-08 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +3.80%E +0.724%K +0.894%G +0.034% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.80%E +0.724%K +0.894%G +0.034% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 23:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +1.82%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 22:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-08 23:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 23:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 23:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 23:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.36%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.64%EV -2.13%E -0.430%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-08 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -3.12%E -0.636%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 23:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -3.12%E -0.636%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 23:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -3.12%E -0.636%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -4.50%E -0.932%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 22:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.94%EV -9.34%E -8.27%K -71.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 22:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 22:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 22:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 23:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 22:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.07%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 22:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.34%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.07%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-08 22:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.91%EV -0.517%E -0.417%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 21.09%EV -8.26%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 22:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 22:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 22:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 22:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 22:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -12.02%E -2.70%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.06%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.94%EV -14.19%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -14.98%E -3.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 23:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.96% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 19.04% | 0.4% | 2026-04-08 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.5% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.5% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.85% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.15% | 1.8% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.9% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58% | 2.3% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06% | 2.6% | 2026-04-08 23:10 |