La escuela de los momios

Orlando Magic v Minnesota Timberwolves

Inicio: 2026-04-08 23:13 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Orlando Magic (Local)

Predicción 80.23%1.25momio equitativo
EV -0.517%
Ventaja -0.417%
Kelly -2.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.06%80.16%80.15%82.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.191.181.2488.50%84.31%84.75%80.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante)

Predicción 19.77%5.06momio equitativo
EV +4.79%
Ventaja +0.904%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.053%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.97%19.84%19.85%21.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.864.835.3023.26%20.59%20.70%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +4.79%E +0.904%K +1.11%G +0.053%3.6%2026-04-08 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +4.79%E +0.904%K +1.11%G +0.053%3.6%2026-04-08 22:50
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +4.79%E +0.904%K +1.11%G +0.053%3.6%2026-04-08 22:50
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +4.79%E +0.904%K +1.11%G +0.053%3.6%2026-04-08 22:50
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +3.80%E +0.724%K +0.894%G +0.034%4.5%2026-04-08 22:59
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.80%E +0.724%K +0.894%G +0.034%6.0%2026-04-08 23:09
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +1.82%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008%4.2%2026-04-08 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002%3.6%2026-04-08 23:10
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002%4.4%2026-04-08 23:10
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-08 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-08 22:40
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-08 22:40
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-08 22:45
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-08 22:40
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-08 22:34
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-08 22:40
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-08 23:08
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 23:09
SportsBet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 23:08
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 23:10
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 22:20
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 23:10
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 23:10
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 23:10
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 23:05
Dabble (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 22:40
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 80.36%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.64%EV -2.13%E -0.430%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-08 23:00
LowVig.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -3.12%E -0.636%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 23:09
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -3.12%E -0.636%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 23:09
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -3.12%E -0.636%K -0.800%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -4.50%E -0.932%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 23:10
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 22:24
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 22:35
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 23:10
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 23:00
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 80.94%EV -9.34%E -8.27%K -71.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 22:50
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 23:09
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 22:25
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 22:25
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 22:25
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 22:55
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 23:10
Bet Right1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.07%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 22:55
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.07%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 22:30
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 78.91%EV -0.517%E -0.417%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 21.09%EV -8.26%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-08 22:35
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 22:25
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 22:20
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 22:25
Codere (IT)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 22:25
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 22:25
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 22:25
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 22:25
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 22:25
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 22:43
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -12.02%E -2.70%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 22:35
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.06%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.94%EV -14.19%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 22:30
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -14.98%E -3.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 23:08
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.23I 81.30%NM 80.96%5.23I 19.12%NM 19.04%0.4%2026-04-08 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-04-08 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-04-08 23:10
Polymarket1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-04-08 23:10
ProphetX1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-04-08 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-04-08 23:10
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 81.85%5.41I 18.48%NM 18.15%1.8%2026-04-08 23:10
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.9%2026-04-08 23:10
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%2.3%2026-04-08 23:10
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06%2.6%2026-04-08 23:10