A Escola das Odds

Orlando Magic v Minnesota Timberwolves

Início: 2026-04-08 23:13 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Orlando Magic (Local)

Previsão 80.23%1.25odd justa
EV -0.517%
Vantagem -0.417%
Kelly -2.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.06%80.16%80.15%82.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.131.191.181.2488.50%84.31%84.75%80.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante)

Previsão 19.77%5.06odd justa
EV +4.79%
Vantagem +0.904%
Kelly +1.11%
Crescimento +0.053%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.97%19.84%19.85%21.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.304.864.835.3023.26%20.59%20.70%18.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +4.79%E +0.904%K +1.11%G +0.053%3.6%2026-04-08 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +4.79%E +0.904%K +1.11%G +0.053%3.6%2026-04-08 22:50
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +4.79%E +0.904%K +1.11%G +0.053%3.6%2026-04-08 22:50
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +4.79%E +0.904%K +1.11%G +0.053%3.6%2026-04-08 22:50
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +3.80%E +0.724%K +0.894%G +0.034%4.5%2026-04-08 22:59
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.80%E +0.724%K +0.894%G +0.034%6.0%2026-04-08 23:09
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +1.82%E +0.354%K +0.440%G +0.008%4.2%2026-04-08 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002%3.6%2026-04-08 23:10
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002%4.4%2026-04-08 23:10
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-08 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-08 22:40
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-08 22:40
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-08 22:45
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-08 22:40
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-08 22:34
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.835%E +0.164%K +0.204%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-08 22:40
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-08 23:08
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 23:09
SportsBet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 23:08
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 23:10
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 22:20
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 23:10
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 23:10
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 23:10
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 23:05
Dabble (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.14%E -0.228%K -0.285%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 22:40
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 80.36%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.64%EV -2.13%E -0.430%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-08 23:00
LowVig.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -3.12%E -0.636%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 23:09
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -3.12%E -0.636%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 23:09
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -3.12%E -0.636%K -0.800%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -4.50%E -0.932%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 23:10
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 22:24
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 22:35
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 23:10
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 23:00
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 80.94%EV -9.34%E -8.27%K -71.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 22:50
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 23:09
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 22:25
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 22:25
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 22:25
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 22:55
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.08%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 23:10
Bet Right1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.07%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 22:55
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.07%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 22:30
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 78.91%EV -0.517%E -0.417%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 21.09%EV -8.26%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-08 22:35
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 22:25
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 22:20
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.33%E -4.52%K -29.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.05%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 22:25
Codere (IT)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.92%E -2.42%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 22:25
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 22:25
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 22:25
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 22:25
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 22:25
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.73%E -3.10%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 22:43
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -12.02%E -2.70%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 22:35
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.06%EV -2.12%E -1.74%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.94%EV -14.19%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 22:30
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -14.98%E -3.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 23:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.23I 81.30%NM 80.96%5.23I 19.12%NM 19.04%0.4%2026-04-08 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-04-08 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-04-08 23:10
Polymarket1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-04-08 23:10
ProphetX1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-04-08 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-04-08 23:10
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 81.85%5.41I 18.48%NM 18.15%1.8%2026-04-08 23:10
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.9%2026-04-08 23:10
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%2.3%2026-04-08 23:10
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06%2.6%2026-04-08 23:10