Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.44
assuming max odds 1.67
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orlando Magic (Local): 41.41%; Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit): 58.59%. For Orlando Magic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.44, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.04%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV +1.04%E +0.425%K +0.720%G +0.007% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 20:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.206%E -0.086%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -0.206%E -0.086%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-11 23:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.620%E -0.258%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 23:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.620%E -0.258%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.84%E -4.30%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 23:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -1.03%E -0.433%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -6.25%E -3.91%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 20:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 23:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -7.43%E -4.70%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 17:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -1.86%E -0.786%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.84%E -4.30%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-11 23:33 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-11 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-11 11:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 23:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 21:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 05:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 23:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 23:37 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 05:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -3.52%E -1.51%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -8.60%E -5.51%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -3.52%E -1.51%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -8.60%E -5.51%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.93%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -3.93%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -3.93%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -3.93%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -8.60%E -5.51%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -3.93%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -8.60%E -5.51%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.35%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 23:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 23:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 23:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 23:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.50%E -2.76%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.25%E -3.91%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.25%E -3.91%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.25%E -3.91%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.59%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -5.59%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -9.77%E -6.34%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -6.42%E -2.84%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 23:28 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -6.42%E -2.84%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -6.84%E -4.30%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 23:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.83%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.83%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.83%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.83%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 23:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.83%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.43%E -4.70%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.90%E -4.05%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 23:33 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 0.2% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 23:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 1.2% | 2026-03-11 23:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 1.6% | 2026-03-11 23:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 1.9% | 2026-03-11 23:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 18:54 |