La escuela de los momios

Orlando Magic v Cleveland Cavaliers

Inicio: 2026-03-11 23:42 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Orlando Magic (Local)

Predicción 41.41%2.41momio equitativo
EV +1.04%
Ventaja +0.425%
Kelly +0.720%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%41.31%41.40%42.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.322.322.4445.45%43.02%43.10%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante)

Predicción 58.59%1.71momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -3.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.51%58.69%58.60%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.611.621.6764.94%61.99%61.73%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV +1.04%E +0.425%K +0.720%G +0.007%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-11 20:35
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.206%E -0.086%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-11 23:30
LowVig.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -0.206%E -0.086%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 23:39
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.620%E -0.258%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 23:39
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.620%E -0.258%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.84%E -4.30%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 23:39
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -1.03%E -0.433%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -6.25%E -3.91%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 20:30
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 23:39
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -7.43%E -4.70%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 23:34
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 17:04
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 23:34
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 23:34
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 23:34
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 23:34
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 23:34
MyBookie.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -1.86%E -0.786%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.84%E -4.30%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 23:09
Bet Victor2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 23:33
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 22:54
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-11 11:50
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 23:39
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 21:25
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 05:35
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 23:10
Dabble (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 23:24
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 23:37
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 05:35
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -3.52%E -1.51%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -8.60%E -5.51%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 23:34
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -3.52%E -1.51%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -8.60%E -5.51%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 23:34
ReBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.93%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 23:09
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -3.93%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 23:34
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -3.93%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -3.93%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -8.60%E -5.51%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 23:34
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -3.93%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -8.60%E -5.51%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 23:34
SportsBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.35%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 23:29
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 23:39
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 23:34
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 23:09
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 23:30
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 23:20
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 22:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 23:24
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 23:09
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 23:39
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 23:19
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.50%E -2.76%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 23:09
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 22:59
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 23:14
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 23:29
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 23:29
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.25%E -3.91%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.25%E -3.91%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 22:25
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.25%E -3.91%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 22:25
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.59%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 23:34
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -5.59%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -9.77%E -6.34%K -18.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-11 23:34
Caesars2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -6.42%E -2.84%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 23:28
Unibet (FR)2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -6.42%E -2.84%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -6.84%E -4.30%K -11.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 23:24
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.83%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 23:09
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.83%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 23:09
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.83%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 22:20
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.83%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 23:09
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.83%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.43%E -4.70%K -12.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 22:59
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.90%E -4.05%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-11 23:33
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-03-11 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-03-11 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-03-11 23:34
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-11 23:29
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-11 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-11 23:39
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-03-11 23:39
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-03-11 23:39
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-03-11 23:30
BetOpenly2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%4.1%2026-03-11 18:54