L’École des cotes

Orlando Magic v Cleveland Cavaliers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-11 23:42 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Orlando Magic (Local)

Prévision 41.41%2.41cote équitable
EV +1.04%
Avantage +0.425%
Kelly +0.720%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.75%41.31%41.40%42.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.322.322.4445.45%43.02%43.10%40.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.59%1.71cote équitable
EV -2.15%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -3.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.51%58.69%58.60%60.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.611.621.6764.94%61.99%61.73%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV +1.04%E +0.425%K +0.720%G +0.007%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-11 20:35
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.206%E -0.086%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-11 23:30
LowVig.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -0.206%E -0.086%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 23:39
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.620%E -0.258%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 23:39
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.620%E -0.258%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.84%E -4.30%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 23:39
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -1.03%E -0.433%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -6.25%E -3.91%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 20:30
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 23:39
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -7.43%E -4.70%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 23:34
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 17:04
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 23:34
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 23:34
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 23:34
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 23:34
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.45%E -0.609%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 23:34
MyBookie.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -1.86%E -0.786%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.84%E -4.30%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 23:09
Bet Victor2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 23:33
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 22:54
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-11 11:50
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 23:39
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 21:25
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 05:35
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 23:10
Dabble (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 23:24
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 23:37
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.69%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 05:35
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -3.52%E -1.51%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -8.60%E -5.51%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 23:34
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -3.52%E -1.51%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -8.60%E -5.51%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 23:34
ReBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.93%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 23:09
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -3.93%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 23:34
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -3.93%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -3.93%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -8.60%E -5.51%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 23:34
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -3.93%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -8.60%E -5.51%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 23:34
SportsBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.35%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 23:29
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 23:39
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 23:34
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 23:09
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 23:30
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 23:20
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 22:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 23:24
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 23:09
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 23:39
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.91%E -2.38%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 23:19
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.50%E -2.76%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 23:09
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 22:59
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 23:14
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 23:29
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 23:29
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.25%E -3.91%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.25%E -3.91%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 22:25
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.25%E -3.91%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 22:25
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.59%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 23:34
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -5.59%E -2.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -9.77%E -6.34%K -18.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-11 23:34
Caesars2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -6.42%E -2.84%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 23:28
Unibet (FR)2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -6.42%E -2.84%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -6.84%E -4.30%K -11.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 23:24
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.83%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 23:09
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.83%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 23:09
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.83%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 22:20
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.83%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 23:09
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.83%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.43%E -4.70%K -12.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 22:59
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.90%E -4.05%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-11 23:33
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-03-11 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-03-11 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-03-11 23:34
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-11 23:29
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-11 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-11 23:39
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-03-11 23:39
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-03-11 23:39
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-03-11 23:30
BetOpenly2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%4.1%2026-03-11 18:54