The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Oklahoma City Thunder v Washington Wizards

Kickoff: 2026-11-08 01:11 UTC

Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 114–75 Washington Wizards

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

68 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Prediction 82.76%1.21fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -13.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.55%82.55%82.81%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.151.151.1891.74%87.18%86.96%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Wizards (Visit)

Prediction 17.24%5.80fair odd
EV +3.46%
Edge +0.577%
Kelly +0.692%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.97%17.45%17.19%22.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.805.475.506.0026.32%18.27%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma City Thunder (Local): 82.76%; Washington Wizards (Visit): 17.24%. For Washington Wizards (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.80. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (68 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.46%E +0.577%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.4%2026-11-07 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.50%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.50%EV +1.22%E +0.208%K +0.251%G +0.003%3.2%2026-11-07 23:55
SportsBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV +0.875%E +0.150%K +0.180%G +0.002%4.1%2026-11-08 00:05
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 01:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 01:05
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 01:05
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 01:05
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 01:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 01:05
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 01:05
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -7.31%E -6.53%K -60.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-08 01:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -7.31%E -6.53%K -60.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-08 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -0.677%E -0.117%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-07 23:55
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -0.849%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 00:20
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -0.849%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 00:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.849%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 00:20
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 83.04%EV -3.18%E -2.71%K -18.68%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.96%EV -1.19%E -0.208%K -0.252%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-08 01:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.49%E -5.74%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -1.71%E -0.300%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-07 23:55
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -2.35%E -1.99%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%2.6%2026-11-08 00:49
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -2.35%E -1.99%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%2.6%2026-11-08 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -3.18%E -2.71%K -18.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-08 00:05
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -3.18%E -2.71%K -18.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-08 00:00
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-07 23:49
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-07 23:35
Caesars🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-08 00:50
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -3.78%E -0.677%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-07 23:55
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -4.30%E -0.774%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 00:00
Everygame🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -4.30%E -0.774%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 00:00
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.51%EV -3.18%E -2.71%K -18.68%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.49%EV -4.82%E -0.872%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-08 01:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 00:05
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-07 23:45
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 00:19
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-07 23:40
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-07 23:35
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-07 23:40
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-07 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-07 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-08 00:20
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-08 00:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.46%EV -9.80%E -8.99%K -108.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-08 01:05
picklebet_au🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.88%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 01:00
ReBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.88%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 01:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.88%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 00:10
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.88%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.88%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.49%E -5.74%K -49.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -8.61%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-08 01:04
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-07 23:45
betfred_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 00:05
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-07 23:55
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-07 23:55
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.33%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-07 23:40
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.33%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-07 23:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.33%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-07 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.33%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-07 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.33%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-08 00:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.39%EV -9.80%E -8.99%K -108.84%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-08 00:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.35%E -1.99%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-07 23:40
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.18%E -2.71%K -18.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 00:20
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-07 23:50
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -15.51%E -3.16%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-08 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.28%EV -6.49%E -5.74%K -49.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -20.68%E -4.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-08 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07%EV -7.31%E -6.53%K -60.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -22.40%E -4.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-08 01:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 77.55%EV -8.97%E -8.15%K -89.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.45%EV -34.47%E -9.07%K -12.31%G +0.000%17.2%2026-11-08 01:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.19I 84.03%NM 84.01%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.99%0.0%2026-11-08 00:50
Matchbook◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-11-08 01:05
ProphetX◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.68%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.32%0.4%2026-11-08 00:45
Novig◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.59%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.41%0.5%2026-11-08 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-11-08 00:35
Kalshi◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-11-07 23:35
Polymarket◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-11-08 00:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-11-08 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-11-08 01:05
Smarkets◎1.17I 85.47%NM 83.45%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55%2.4%2026-11-08 01:05

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