默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Oklahoma City Thunder v Washington Wizards

开赛时间： 2026-11-08 01:11 UTC

最终结果： Oklahoma City Thunder 114–75 Washington Wizards

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

68 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

83%

17%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Oklahoma City Thunder (主队)

预测 82.76%1.21公平赔率

EV -2.35%

优势 -1.99%

Kelly -13.04%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.18

博彩公司预测分布

77.55%82.55%82.81%84.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.091.151.151.1891.74%87.18%86.96%84.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

Washington Wizards (客队)

预测 17.24%5.80公平赔率

EV +3.46%

优势 +0.577%

Kelly +0.692%

增长率 +0.024%

假设最高赔率为 6.00

博彩公司预测分布

15.97%17.45%17.19%22.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.805.475.506.0026.32%18.27%18.18%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Oklahoma City Thunder (主队)：82.76%；Washington Wizards (客队)：17.24%。对于“Washington Wizards (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.80。当时有16家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.00，对应+3.46%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (68 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.46%E +0.577%K +0.692%G +0.024%	4.4%	2026-11-07 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 83.50%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.87I 17.04%NM 16.50%EV +1.22%E +0.208%K +0.251%G +0.003%	3.2%	2026-11-07 23:55
SportsBet🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV +0.875%E +0.150%K +0.180%G +0.002%	4.1%	2026-11-08 00:05
FanDuel🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-08 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
ATG (SE)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
BetRivers🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
TABtouch🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
Unibet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
Svenska Spel🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
betPARX🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
Bally Bet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -7.31%E -6.53%K -60.94%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-11-08 01:05
Virgin Bet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -7.31%E -6.53%K -60.94%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-11-08 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -0.677%E -0.117%K -0.142%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-07 23:55
BetMGM🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -0.849%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 00:20
Fliff🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -0.849%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 00:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.849%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-08 00:20
Pinnacle🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 83.04%EV -3.18%E -2.71%K -18.68%G +0.000%	5.73I 17.45%NM 16.96%EV -1.19%E -0.208%K -0.252%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-11-08 01:05
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.49%E -5.74%K -49.89%G +0.000%	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -1.71%E -0.300%K -0.364%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-07 23:55
Bet Victor🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -2.35%E -1.99%K -13.04%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-11-08 00:49
betano_uk🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -2.35%E -1.99%K -13.04%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-11-08 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -3.18%E -2.71%K -18.68%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-11-08 00:05
1xBet🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -3.18%E -2.71%K -18.68%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-11-08 00:00
Coolbet🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-07 23:49
Fanatics🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-07 23:35
Caesars🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-08 00:50
DraftKings🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -3.78%E -0.677%K -0.825%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-07 23:55
GTbets🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -4.30%E -0.774%K -0.945%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-08 00:00
Everygame🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -4.30%E -0.774%K -0.945%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-08 00:00
BetUS🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 82.51%EV -3.18%E -2.71%K -18.68%G +0.000%	5.52I 18.12%NM 17.49%EV -4.82%E -0.872%K -1.07%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-11-08 01:05
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-08 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-08 00:05
TAB🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-07 23:45
Bovada🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-08 00:19
PlayUp🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-07 23:40
BetAnything🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-07 23:35
Paddy Power🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-07 23:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-07 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-07 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-08 00:20
Coral🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-08 00:20
PMU (FR)🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 83.46%EV -9.80%E -8.99%K -108.84%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-11-08 01:05
picklebet_au🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.88%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-08 01:00
ReBet🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.88%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-08 01:00
Codere (IT)🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.88%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-08 00:10
Neds🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.88%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-08 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.88%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-08 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.49%E -5.74%K -49.89%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -8.61%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-11-08 01:04
Bet Right🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-07 23:45
betfred_uk🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-08 00:05
NordicBet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-07 23:55
Betsson🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-07 23:55
888sport🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.33%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-07 23:40
William Hill🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.33%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-07 23:45
888sport (SE)🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.33%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-07 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.33%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-07 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.33%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-08 00:55
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 82.39%EV -9.80%E -8.99%K -108.84%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-11-08 00:30
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.35%E -1.99%K -13.04%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-07 23:40
Sky Bet🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.18%E -2.71%K -18.68%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-08 00:20
BoyleSports🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-07 23:50
LeoVegas🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -15.51%E -3.16%K -3.98%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-11-08 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 80.28%EV -6.49%E -5.74%K -49.89%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -20.68%E -4.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-11-08 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07%EV -7.31%E -6.53%K -60.94%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -22.40%E -4.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-11-08 01:05
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 77.55%EV -8.97%E -8.15%K -89.68%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 22.45%EV -34.47%E -9.07%K -12.31%G +0.000%	17.2%	2026-11-08 01:04

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 84.01%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.99%	0.0%	2026-11-08 00:50
Matchbook◎	1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%	6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%	0.4%	2026-11-08 01:05
ProphetX◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 83.68%	6.10I 16.39%NM 16.32%	0.4%	2026-11-08 00:45
Novig◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 83.59%	6.06I 16.50%NM 16.41%	0.5%	2026-11-08 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%	6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%	0.7%	2026-11-08 00:35
Kalshi◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%	5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%	1.0%	2026-11-07 23:35
Polymarket◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%	5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%	1.0%	2026-11-08 00:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%	6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%	1.4%	2026-11-08 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%	6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%	1.4%	2026-11-08 01:05
Smarkets◎	1.17I 85.47%NM 83.45%	5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55%	2.4%	2026-11-08 01:05

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