Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Oklahoma City Thunder v Washington Wizards

Inicio: 2026-11-08 01:11 UTC

Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 114–75 Washington Wizards

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

68 corredores (22 en el análisis )

83%

17%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Predicción 82.76%1.21momio equitativo

EV -2.35%

Ventaja -1.99%

Kelly -13.04%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

77.55%82.55%82.81%84.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.091.151.151.1891.74%87.18%86.96%84.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Wizards (Visitante)

Predicción 17.24%5.80momio equitativo

EV +3.46%

Ventaja +0.577%

Kelly +0.692%

Crecimiento +0.024%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

15.97%17.45%17.19%22.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

3.805.475.506.0026.32%18.27%18.18%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Oklahoma City Thunder (Local): 82.76%; Washington Wizards (Visitante): 17.24%. Para Washington Wizards (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.80. 16 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.46%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (68 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.46%E +0.577%K +0.692%G +0.024%	4.4%	2026-11-07 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 83.50%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.87I 17.04%NM 16.50%EV +1.22%E +0.208%K +0.251%G +0.003%	3.2%	2026-11-07 23:55
SportsBet🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV +0.875%E +0.150%K +0.180%G +0.002%	4.1%	2026-11-08 00:05
FanDuel🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-08 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
ATG (SE)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
BetRivers🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
TABtouch🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
Unibet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
Svenska Spel🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
betPARX🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
Bally Bet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-08 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -7.31%E -6.53%K -60.94%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-11-08 01:05
Virgin Bet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -7.31%E -6.53%K -60.94%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +0.013%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-11-08 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -0.677%E -0.117%K -0.142%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-07 23:55
BetMGM🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -0.849%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 00:20
Fliff🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -0.849%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 00:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.849%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-08 00:20
Pinnacle🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 83.04%EV -3.18%E -2.71%K -18.68%G +0.000%	5.73I 17.45%NM 16.96%EV -1.19%E -0.208%K -0.252%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-11-08 01:05
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.49%E -5.74%K -49.89%G +0.000%	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -1.71%E -0.300%K -0.364%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-07 23:55
Bet Victor🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -2.35%E -1.99%K -13.04%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-11-08 00:49
betano_uk🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -2.35%E -1.99%K -13.04%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-11-08 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -3.18%E -2.71%K -18.68%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-11-08 00:05
1xBet🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -3.18%E -2.71%K -18.68%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-11-08 00:00
Coolbet🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-07 23:49
Fanatics🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-07 23:35
Caesars🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.44%E -0.613%K -0.747%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-08 00:50
DraftKings🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -3.78%E -0.677%K -0.825%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-07 23:55
GTbets🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -4.30%E -0.774%K -0.945%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-08 00:00
Everygame🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -4.30%E -0.774%K -0.945%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-08 00:00
BetUS🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 82.51%EV -3.18%E -2.71%K -18.68%G +0.000%	5.52I 18.12%NM 17.49%EV -4.82%E -0.872%K -1.07%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-11-08 01:05
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-08 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-08 00:05
TAB🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-07 23:45
Bovada🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-08 00:19
PlayUp🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-07 23:40
BetAnything🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-07 23:35
Paddy Power🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-07 23:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-07 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-07 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-08 00:20
Coral🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-08 00:20
PMU (FR)🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 83.46%EV -9.80%E -8.99%K -108.84%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -5.16%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-11-08 01:05
picklebet_au🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.88%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-08 01:00
ReBet🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.88%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-08 01:00
Codere (IT)🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.88%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-08 00:10
Neds🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.88%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-08 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.88%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-08 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.49%E -5.74%K -49.89%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -8.61%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-11-08 01:04
Bet Right🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -25.02%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-07 23:45
betfred_uk🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-08 00:05
NordicBet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-07 23:55
Betsson🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-07 23:55
888sport🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.33%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-07 23:40
William Hill🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.33%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-07 23:45
888sport (SE)🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.33%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-07 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.33%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-07 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.83%E -4.20%K -32.20%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.33%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-08 00:55
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 82.39%EV -9.80%E -8.99%K -108.84%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-11-08 00:30
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.35%E -1.99%K -13.04%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-07 23:40
Sky Bet🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.18%E -2.71%K -18.68%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-08 00:20
BoyleSports🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-07 23:50
LeoVegas🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -5.66%E -4.96%K -40.41%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -15.51%E -3.16%K -3.98%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-11-08 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 80.28%EV -6.49%E -5.74%K -49.89%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -20.68%E -4.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-11-08 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07%EV -7.31%E -6.53%K -60.94%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -22.40%E -4.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-11-08 01:05
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 77.55%EV -8.97%E -8.15%K -89.68%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 22.45%EV -34.47%E -9.07%K -12.31%G +0.000%	17.2%	2026-11-08 01:04

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
BetOpenly◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 84.01%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.99%	0.0%	2026-11-08 00:50
Matchbook◎	1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%	6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%	0.4%	2026-11-08 01:05
ProphetX◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 83.68%	6.10I 16.39%NM 16.32%	0.4%	2026-11-08 00:45
Novig◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 83.59%	6.06I 16.50%NM 16.41%	0.5%	2026-11-08 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%	6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%	0.7%	2026-11-08 00:35
Kalshi◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%	5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%	1.0%	2026-11-07 23:35
Polymarket◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%	5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%	1.0%	2026-11-08 00:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%	6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%	1.4%	2026-11-08 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%	6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%	1.4%	2026-11-08 01:05
Smarkets◎	1.17I 85.47%NM 83.45%	5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55%	2.4%	2026-11-08 01:05

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